Real Monarchs vs Portland Timbers 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2
Result
4:1
28/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.17
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
87% (363/416)83% (337/408)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
2.550.17
xG on target (xGOT)
3.030.47
Total shots
185
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
80
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
61
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
224
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
914
Passes
87% (363/416)83% (337/408)
Long passes
67% (35/52)42% (21/50)
Passes in final third
75% (85/114)55% (39/71)
Crosses
22% (4/18)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.13
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
149
Tackles
92% (12/13)91% (10/11)
Duels won
3132
Clearances
514
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.473.03
Goals prevented
-0.530.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mesalles R. , Wolff T. (A),
  • 17', 2 - 0, Wolff T. , Anderson O. (A),
  • 36', Smith I. 🟨,
  • 45', Henry K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Anderson O. , O'Gara L. ,
  • 46', Nunez D. , Revaldo R. ,
  • 46', Santos N. , Bunbury M. ,
  • 51', Campaz B. , Riquelme A. ,
  • 54', 3 - 0, Wolff T. , Dillon G. (A),
  • 55', Smith I. , Pope B. ,
  • 58', Bunbury M. 🟨,
  • 66', Enriquez V. , Eisenberg M. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Bunbury M. ,
  • 74', Berrios D. 🟨,
  • 75', Barea J. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Mesalles R. , Farnsworth Z. ,
  • 80', Berrios D. , Amparo I. ,
  • 80', Johnston M. , Iziota E. ,
  • 85', Touray O. 🟨,
  • 87', Kerkvliet M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, Touray O. , Wolff T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
62.7%
Draw
20.7%
Portland Timbers 2
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 24% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Portland Timbers 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.75)
    4.42
    (3.8)
    5.48
    (3.81)
    9.4%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 4.
    • Real Monarchs is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Portland 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Portland 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Monarchs is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:7. (average 2.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:3
    29.09.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 2:0
    14.07.2024 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 1:2
    15.03.2024 Real Monarchs - Portland Timbers 2 1:0
    24.09.2023 Portland Timbers 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Portland Timbers 2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

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