Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire
Result
1:2
21/06/2023 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: MLS
  • Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
55%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.5% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.9)
    3.85
    (3.53)
    4.57
    (3.83)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3%98.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • Portland has the most likely position - 8 (9.56%), project points - 44, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (66%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Chicago has the most likely position - 14 (21.81%), project points - 38, currently - 17, a small chance of playoffs (15%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 38, small importance 21, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 2.
    • Recent matches Portland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chicago is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portland is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Ayala D. (Knee Injury) Bonilla P. (Muscle Injury) Chara Y. (Injury) Mora F. (Knee Injury) Williamson E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Injury) Teran C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Brady C. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Portland won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps16105130:121835
    2San Diego FC1793529:181130
    3Minnesota United1786326:161030
    4Portland Timbers1785427:23429
    5Los Angeles FC1675430:23726
    6Seattle Sounders1875625:25026
    7Austin FC1865713:20-723
    8San Jose Earthquakes1764734:28622
    9Colorado Rapids1764718:24-622
    10Houston Dynamo1755722:25-320
    11FC Dallas1646618:26-818
    12Sporting Kansas City1744926:31-516
    13Real Salt Lake17431016:25-915
    14St. Louis City1735914:23-914
    15Los Angeles Galaxy17141215:36-217


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union17104332:181434
    2FC Cincinnati1793525:24130
    3Inter Miami1685336:27929
    4Nashville SC1785430:21929
    5Columbus Crew1777327:24328
    6New York Red Bulls1783628:19927
    7Orlando City1776431:22927
    8Charlotte1781828:27125
    9Chicago Fire1674535:29625
    10New York City1774620:20025
    11New England Revolution1565419:14523
    12DC United1846817:36-1918
    13Atlanta Utd1745821:30-917
    14Toronto FC17341018:24-613
    15CF Montreal17151112:32-208

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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