Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer MLS Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire
Result
1:2
21/06/2023 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: MLS
  • Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Portland Timbers
55%
Draw
24.4%
Chicago Fire
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 26.5% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 23.8% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Portland Timbers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers's performance.
  • Chicago Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago Fire could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.9)
    3.84
    (3.53)
    4.57
    (3.83)
    7.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Portland Timbers - Chicago Fire?
  • Users Predictions: Portland Timbers will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.3%98.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
    • Portland has the most likely position - 8 (9.56%), project points - 44, currently - 20, a good chance of playoffs (66%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (2%).
    • Chicago has the most likely position - 14 (21.81%), project points - 38, currently - 17, a small chance of playoffs (15%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 38, small importance 21, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Portland won 2.
    • Recent matches Portland is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Chicago is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Portland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Portland is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Portland: Ayala D. (Knee Injury) Bonilla P. (Muscle Injury) Chara Y. (Injury) Mora F. (Knee Injury) Williamson E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C. (Injury) Teran C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chicago: Brady C. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Portland won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Portland won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    Latest results of Chicago Fire
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 33189665:362963
    2San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    3Los Angeles FC ✔ 33178863:382559
    4Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    5Seattle Sounders ✔ 331410956:47952
    6Austin FC331381236:43-747
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3310111250:54-441
    9Real Salt Lake331241736:47-1140
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes331081558:62-438
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy33691844:65-2127


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 33188776:532362
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City331411861:471453
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC335141433:42-929
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd335121637:62-2527
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Seattle Sounders is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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