Real Monarchs vs Austin II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Real Monarchs - Austin II
Result
2:1 penalties
20/07/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Real Monarchs - Austin II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.400.43
xG on target (xGOT)
0.270.50
Total shots
87
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
44
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
919
Passes
90% (422/468)87% (305/350)
Long passes
70% (21/30)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
86% (89/104)62% (43/69)
Crosses
9% (1/11)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.280.41
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
199
Tackles
74% (14/19)87% (13/15)
Duels won
3840
Clearances
1913
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.500.27
Goals prevented
-0.500.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Dillon G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Anderson O. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ,
  • 63', Bonachera R. , Ciesla D. ,
  • 63', Abarca D. , Burton M. ,
  • 63', Danciutiu V. , Grogan P. ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 75', Charpie W. , Calderon G. ,
  • 75', Brook L. , Touray O. ,
  • 75', Anderson O. , Marquez O. ,
  • 75', Dillon G. , Berrios D. ,
  • 83', Hezarkhani A. , Campaz B. ,
  • 84', Mesalles R. , Silva T. ,
  • 87', Farkarlun B. , Avila C. ,
  • 90+2', Torres E. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 4)
  • 1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
  • 1, Marquez O. (Pen),
  • 2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
  • 2, Silva T. (Pen),
  • 3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
  • 3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
  • 4, Gomez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Henry K. (Pen),
  • 5, Grogan P. (Pen),
  • 5, Barea J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Monarchs
50%
Draw
25.1%
Austin II
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 24.9% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
  • Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Real Monarchs - Austin II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (2.17)
    3.73
    (3.68)
    3.76
    (2.79)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
    • Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Monarchs - Austin II were as follows:
    05.07.2024 Austin II - Real Monarchs 2:0
    02.06.2024 Real Monarchs - Austin II 4:0
    30.06.2023 Real Monarchs - Austin II 0:0
    02.06.2023 Austin II - Real Monarchs 3:0
    Latest results of Real Monarchs
    Latest results of Austin II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    4New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    5New York City II19623833:3925
    6Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    7Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    8Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga19833530:2933
    2Huntsville17832435:1932
    3Orlando City B19721926:3726
    4Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    5Carolina Core18344722:2521
    6Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    7Inter Miami II185031030:4118


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County18913534:2832
    2Town FC16822438:2130
    3Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    4Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    5Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    6Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    7Portland Timbers 217522827:3321


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    3North Texas18821732:3529
    4Austin FC II18634522:2128
    5Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    6Minnesota 217703728:2524
    7Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2181122345:3239
    2Philadelphia Union II17952142:1439
    3Chattanooga19833530:2933
    4Huntsville17832435:1932
    5Chicago Fire II17822534:3030
    6New England Revolution II16741428:2130
    7Orlando City B19721926:3726
    8Crown Legacy19535630:3526
    9New York City II19623833:3925
    10Cincinnati 217370716:2323
    11Toronto FC II18604820:2922
    12Carolina Core18344722:2521
    13Atlanta United 216326523:2619
    14Inter Miami II185031030:4118
    15Columbus Crew 2163121017:3113


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2181220437:2540
    2Ventura County18913534:2832
    3Colorado Rapids 219913634:3032
    4Town FC16822438:2130
    5North Texas18821732:3529
    6Vancouver Whitecaps 218731739:3328
    7Austin FC II18634522:2128
    8Real Monarchs17543529:3126
    9Houston Dynamo 219631927:2925
    10Minnesota 217703728:2524
    11Tacoma Defiance16621740:4023
    12Los Angeles FC II17621827:3423
    13Portland Timbers 217522827:3321
    14Sporting Kansas City II160131211:405

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