St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo
Result
2:3
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.481.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.001.42
Total shots
158
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
103
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
146
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
113
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
87% (394/455)83% (271/326)
Long passes
69% (49/71)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
71% (111/157)80% (100/125)
Crosses
21% (8/38)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.59
Throw-ins
3013
Fouls
1414
Tackles
55% (6/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4143
Clearances
1652
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.421.00
Goals prevented
-0.58-1.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Ponce E. , McGlynn J. (A),
  • 43', Lowen E. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ponce E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 2, Kessler H. (Own goal),
  • 53', Morales A. 🟨,
  • 54', Antonio Carlos 🟨,
  • 58', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
  • 59', Baumgartl T. , Fall F. ,
  • 59', Ostrak T. , Joyner M. ,
  • 69', Wallem C. , Becher S. ,
  • 69', Ennali L. , Holmes D. ,
  • 72', 0 - 3, Holmes D. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 75', Sviatchenko E. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 80', Jeong S. , Pompeu C. ,
  • 80', Morales A. , Durkin C. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Lowen E. , Becher S. (A),
  • 87', Ponce E. , Segal G. ,
  • 87', McGlynn J. , Escobar F. ,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Joyner M. , Durkin C. (A), Hartel M. (A2)
  • 90+1', Joyner M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
44%
Draw
24.3%
Houston Dynamo
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 23.3% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 22.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2)
    3.87
    (4)
    2.96
    (3.1)
    5.7%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Houston will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Hip Injury) Teuchert C. (Lower-Body Injury) Wentzel M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Houston: Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Houston: Ortiz P. (Injury) Segal G. (Lower-Body Injury) Sviatchenko E. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 2.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo were as follows:
    28.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0
    05.10.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 3:0
    04.05.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 0:0
    27.02.2024 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0
    20.02.2024 St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo 2:1
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC28165752:331953
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC25118644:311341
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - Houston Dynamo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video
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