Acassuso vs Deportivo Merlo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera B Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera B - Apertura - Round 11
Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
89
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
59
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Senn F. ,
  • 30', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Bernal T. 🟨,
  • 59', Bernal T. , Zeineddin N. ,
  • 63', Dubini K. , Dordoni B. ,
  • 66', Ibarra L. , Arellano L. ,
  • 72', Jimenez A. , Perez S. ,
  • 73', Senn F. , Habib T. ,
  • 73', Hermoso A. , Ramirez U. ,
  • 77', De Stefano D. 🟨,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 78', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
  • 79', Hernandez B. , Escalante D. ,
  • 79', Mino L. , Nicolaievsky F. ,
  • 85', Escalante D. 🟨,
  • 86', Mendez E. 🟨,
  • 89', Sosa S. 🟥,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Nicolaievsky F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Acassuso
31.5%
Draw
33.3%
Deportivo Merlo
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 31.1% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 31.9% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Merlo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.29)
    2.77
    (3)
    2.62
    (3.32)
    8.5%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 1.
    • Acassuso is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Deportivo Merlo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Deportivo Merlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:8 (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Acassuso won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo 0:1
    20.04.2024 Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso 0:0
    23.09.2023 Acassuso - Deportivo Merlo 1:1
    20.05.2023 Deportivo Merlo - Acassuso 0:2
    Latest results of Acassuso
    22.03.2025 Real Pilar - Acassuso 2:0
    15.03.2025 Acassuso - UAI Urquiza 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Merlo
    Argentinian Primera B Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flandria11002:023
    2Midland11002:023
    3Acassuso11002:113
    4Villa San Carlos11002:113
    5Argentino de Quilmes11002:113
    6Deportivo Armenio11001:013
    7Laferrere10101:101
    8Fenix10101:101
    9Sacachispas10101:101
    10San Martin Burzaco10101:101
    11UAI Urquiza10101:101
    12Real Pilar10101:101
    13Comunicaciones10100:001
    14Dock Sud10100:001
    15Brown Adrogue00000:000
    16Argentino de Merlo10011:2-10
    17Excursionistas10011:2-10
    18Liniers10011:2-10
    19Dep. Merlo10010:1-10
    20Sportivo Italiano10010:2-20
    21Villa Dalmine10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final)

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