Gimnasia La Plata vs River Plate: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate
Result
0:3
18/04/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.14
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
77% (257/333)77% (340/439)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.361.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.222.85
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1417
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
77% (257/333)77% (340/439)
Long passes
42% (21/50)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
64% (58/90)69% (84/121)
Crosses
24% (5/21)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.56
Fouls
1410
Tackles
52% (11/21)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5362
Clearances Total
3526
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.850.22
Goals prevented
-0.150.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 9', Pezzella G. 🟨,
  • 27', Jan Hurtado 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Driussi S. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Castro L. ↓, Mammini I. ↑,
  • 46', Fernandez M. ↓, De Blasis P. ↑,
  • 46', Jan Hurtado ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
  • 48', Di Biasi F. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 2, Mastantuono F. ⚽, Driussi S. (A),
  • 56', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 58', Driussi S. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 58', Simon S. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 58', Acuna M. ↓, Casco M. ↑,
  • 59', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
  • 66', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 68', Di Biasi F. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
  • 78', Colidio F. ↓, Aliendro R. ↑,
  • 82', 0 - 3, Aliendro R. ⚽,
  • 85', Piedrahita A. 🟨,
  • 90', Miguel Borja ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
21.5%		Draw
27.6%		River Plate
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25% 29.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 28.8% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
    •

    Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.43 ↑
    (3.78)    		 3.41 ↑
    (3.26)    		 1.87 ↓
    (2.06)    		 5.5%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). River Plate will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 31.2% – 83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0.
    • Gimnasia La Plata is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches River Plate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match River Plate is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Suso G. (Yellow Cards) Torres F. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in River Plate: Beltran S. (Injury) Giuliano Galoppo (Thigh Injury) Martinez P. (Inactive) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate were as follows:
    17.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate 1:1
    17.03.2024 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 3:1
    29.10.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - River Plate 1:2
    13.04.2023 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 3:0
    Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
    13.04.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - Gimnasia La Plata 2:0 ✺
    30.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1 ✺
    10.03.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    13.04.2025 River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba 1:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 River Plate - Barcelona Guayaquil 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate 1:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Universitario de Deportes - River Plate 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 River Plate - Rosario Central 2:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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