Racing vs Newells Old Boys: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional
Soccer Argentinian Liga Profesional Racing - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:0
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)
Racing - Newells Old Boys - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.61
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
76% (249/327)69% (156/227)
Yellow Cards
35
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.151.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.38
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
76% (249/327)69% (156/227)
Long passes
39% (20/51)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
66% (84/128)56% (38/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.970.56
Throw-ins
2216
Fouls
1115
Tackles
88% (7/8)46% (11/24)
Duels won
4857
Clearances
2428
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
0.380.22
Goals prevented
0.380.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Fernandez A. 🟨,
  • 35', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sosa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Mendez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
  • 46', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
  • 52', Montero A. 🟨,
  • 61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
  • 64', Sanchez R. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
  • 65', Montero A. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
  • 65', Maroni G. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
  • 67', Herrera L. 🟨,
  • 67', Martino A. 🟨,
  • 80', Herrera L. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
  • 81', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
  • 81', Nardoni J. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
  • 82', Solari S. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
  • 84', Jacob T. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
  • 86', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
  • 87', Fabbiani C. 🟨,
  • 87', 1 - 0, Banega E. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
49.6%		Draw
26.6%		Newells Old Boys
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 22.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 24.4% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Racing - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↑
    (1.54)    		 3.56 ↓
    (4.1)    		 3.94 ↓
    (5.75)    		 5.2%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 20 - 87%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 73.3% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Racing (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • Racing is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Racing: Quiros S. (Knock) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Luciano M. (Inactive) Regiardo L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Silvetti M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:1
    12.02.2024 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:4
    20.09.2023 Racing - Newells Old Boys 2:1
    12.04.2023 Racing - Newells Old Boys 0:1
    Latest results of Racing
    28.04.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Racing 1:2 ✺
    22.04.2025 Colo-Colo - Racing 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Racing - Central Córdoba 1:0 ✺
    14.04.2025 Aldosivi - Racing 0:2 ✺
    10.04.2025 Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    29.04.2025 Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires 2:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys 1:1 ✺
    11.04.2025 Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors 0:0 ✺
    07.04.2025 Tigre - Newells Old Boys 0:2 ✺
    03.04.2025 Newells Old Boys - Kimberley de Mar del Plata 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors1145218:81017
    2Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    3Barracas Central1145213:11217
    4Estudiantes L.P1152412:12017
    5Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    6Tigre1144310:8216
    7Huracan114436:8-216
    8Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    9Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    10Belgrano1135310:8214
    11Banfield114259:14-514
    12Racing Club1133510:12-212
    13Ind. Rivadavia1125410:12-211
    14Newells Old Boys112459:17-810
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1172216:8823
    2Velez Sarsfield1164116:7922
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1153318:11718
    5Rosario Central1046011:5618
    6San Lorenzo114439:8116
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba112545:9-411
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz111649:14-59
    15Independiente100646:10-46

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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