St. Louis City 2 vs Minnesota United 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

27/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO).

: MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.22
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Passes
79% (275/347)	75% (245/326)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.31	1.02
Total shots
11	4
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
4	1
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
7	2
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	1
Touches in opposition box
19	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
22	16
Passes
79% (275/347)	75% (245/326)
Long passes
51% (26/51)	41% (26/63)
Passes in final third
62% (58/94)	57% (53/93)
Crosses
14% (3/22)	67% (2/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.54
Throw-ins
14	21
Fouls
16	22
Tackles
47% (8/17)	50% (4/8)
Duels won
55	42
Clearances
13	15
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.02	2.31
Goals prevented
1.02	-1.69

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, McSorley B. ⚽,
19', Joyner M. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Perez M. ⚽,
27', Zalinsky J. 🟨,
42', Nour M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Fischer B. ↓, Kiingi K. ↑,
46', Taylor D. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
46', Randell A. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Cilley C. ⚽,
58', Keller K. 🟨,
58', McSorley B. 🟨,
62', Zalinsky J. ↓, Glover C. ↑,
62', Joyner M. ↓, Kidd M. ↑,
65', Mesanvi L. 🟨,
71', 4 - 0, Glover C. ⚽,
72', Mesanvi L. ↓, Farris J. ↑,
72', Hille L. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
79', McSorley B. ↓, Niles E. ↑,
86', Jaaskelainen E. ↓, Demitra L. ↑,
86', Antwi S. ↓, Clancy T. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Louis City 2
53.8%

Draw
22%

Minnesota United 2
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

22.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

22%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Louis City 2's performance.

Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minnesota United 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Louis City 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minnesota United 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)	4.2 ↑ (4)	3.82 ↑ (2.8)	8.4% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 3.
St. Louis City 2 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Minnesota 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is a strong favorite.
We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City 2 won against Minnesota United 2?

St. Louis City 2 has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against St. Louis City 2?

Minnesota United 2 has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:

18.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 2:3

15.09.2024 St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:3

18.08.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 0:3

03.05.2024 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 1:2

13.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - St. Louis City 2 3:2

Latest results of St. Louis City 2

16.07.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County 2:1 ✺

11.07.2025 Austin II - St. Louis City 2 2:4 ✺

06.07.2025 Real Monarchs - St. Louis City 2 1:3 ✺

28.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 1:0 ✺

22.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - The Town 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

22.07.2025 The Town - Minnesota United 2 3:2 ✺

18.07.2025 Portland Timbers 2 - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

13.07.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Real Monarchs 2:1 ✺

03.07.2025 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 3:1 ✺

28.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Colorado Rapids 2 2:1 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
3	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
4	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
5	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
6	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
7	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
4	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
5	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
6	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
7	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
2	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
3	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
5	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
6	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
7	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
3	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
4	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
5	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
6	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
7	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	22	13	2	2	5	53:46	45
2	Huntsville	22	11	4	2	5	46:25	43
3	Philadelphia Union II	22	10	5	3	4	47:23	43
4	Chicago Fire II	21	11	3	2	5	54:36	41
5	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
6	New England Revolution II	20	9	5	1	5	37:26	38
7	Toronto FC II	23	9	1	4	9	28:36	33
8	New York City II	23	8	2	4	9	44:46	32
9	Orlando City B	23	8	2	2	11	32:46	30
10	Crown Legacy	23	6	3	5	9	39:44	29
11	Cincinnati 2	21	5	7	0	9	23:28	29
12	Carolina Core	22	5	4	4	9	28:31	27
13	Atlanta United 2	21	5	2	6	8	29:34	25
14	Inter Miami II	22	6	0	4	12	34:53	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	22	4	1	3	14	25:47	17

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	22	15	3	0	4	50:30	51
2	Town FC	20	12	2	2	4	49:26	42
3	Colorado Rapids 2	23	12	1	4	6	45:34	42
4	Ventura County	22	10	2	3	7	44:40	37
5	Austin FC II	22	8	3	5	6	29:28	35
6	Real Monarchs	20	7	4	3	6	35:33	32
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	22	8	3	1	10	47:43	31
8	Minnesota 2	21	8	2	3	8	34:34	31
9	North Texas	21	8	3	1	9	35:43	31
10	Houston Dynamo 2	23	7	3	2	11	32:37	29
11	Tacoma Defiance	20	7	2	2	9	50:51	27
12	Los Angeles FC II	22	7	2	1	12	35:48	26
13	Portland Timbers 2	21	6	2	3	10	32:39	25
14	Sporting Kansas City II	21	2	1	3	15	21:52	11

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City 2 - Minnesota United 2?

It is being streamed on channel


Usa	MLS Next Pro