San Jose Earthquakes vs New York Red Bulls: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.79
xG on target (xGOT)
0.531.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
2716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
139
Passes
83% (434/523)77% (299/388)
Long passes
63% (27/43)25% (14/56)
Passes in final third
76% (95/125)73% (103/141)
Crosses
38% (10/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.67
Throw-ins
1811
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)52% (12/23)
Duels won
5243
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.230.53
Goals prevented
0.230.53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. , Stroud P. (A), Duncan K. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Vitor Costa ,
  • 59', Ngoma S. , Choupo-Moting E. M. ,
  • 59', Duncan K. , Hack A. ,
  • 60', Edelman D. 🟨,
  • 64', Jones D. 🟨,
  • 77', Martinez J. , Judd P. ,
  • 77', Harkes I. , Kikanovic B. ,
  • 77', Vitor Costa , Bouda O. ,
  • 80', Carmona W. , Hall J. ,
  • 80', Edelman D. , Donkor R. ,
  • 86', Leroux B. , Kaye M. ,
  • 87', Edwards R. 🟥,
  • 90', Forsberg E. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 90+2', Donkor R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


San Jose Earthquakes
48.9%
Draw
23.9%
New York Red Bulls
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.5% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Jose Earthquakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.03)
    3.98
    (3.91)
    3.48
    (3.36)
    5.1%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for San Jose: 42.8%90.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. San Jose (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, San Jose has had a series of away games.
    • San Jose will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in San Jose: Buck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C. (Injury) Morgan L. (Muscle Injury) Nealis D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in San Jose: Lopez H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Edelman D. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    08.04.2023 New York Red Bulls - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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