Result
3:2
21/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : US Open Cup - 1/8-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/397) | 79% (388/493) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.74 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (307/397) | 79% (388/493) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (32/66) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (97/139) | 59% (73/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 2.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Gressel J. (A),
- 24', Durkin C. 🟨,
- 26', Harvey C. 🟨,
- 42', Markanich A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Horn J. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
- 46', Romero N. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
- 46', Harvey C. ↓, Boxall M. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Baumgartl T. (A),
- 63', Gressel J. ↓, Pereyra J. ↑,
- 64', Hlongwane B. ↓, Lod R. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Joao Klauss ⚽, Hartel M. (A),
- 67', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Zalinsky J. ↑,
- 67', Wallem C. ↓, Ostrak T. ↑,
- 79', Joao Klauss ↓, Becher S. ↑,
- 79', Durkin C. ↓, Silva X. ↑,
- 79', Jung Ho-yeon ↓, Oluwaseyi T. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Markanich A. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
- 88', 3 - 2, Markanich A. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
Chances of winning
Minnesota United
47.1% | Draw
26.4% | St. Louis City
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Minnesota United - St. Louis City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.82) |
3.52 ↓
(3.58) |
3.55 ↓
(4.05) |
7.8%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Minnesota United - St. Louis City?
Users Predictions:
Minnesota United will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota United will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Minnesota is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- St. Louis City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Minnesota is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United won against St. Louis City?
Minnesota United has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis City won against Minnesota United?
St. Louis City has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United - St. Louis City were as follows:
17.05.2025
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
3:0
19.10.2024
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
4:1
14.09.2024
St. Louis City
-
Minnesota United
1:3
23.09.2023
Minnesota United
-
St. Louis City
1:2
01.04.2023
St. Louis City
-
Minnesota United
0:1
Latest results of Minnesota United
Latest results of St. Louis City
Draw
20251/128-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 5 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 7 | Inter Miami II | Miami United | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Miami FC | Naples United | 4 : 1 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew 2 | NY Renegades | 4 : 1 |
| 10 | Lexington | Southern Indiana | 5 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 16 | Bye | New York City | |
| 17 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 19 | Asheville City | Greenville | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Appalachian | One Knoxville | 0 : 3 |
| 24 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 25 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 29 | AV Alta | Ventura | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Los Angeles FC II | Arizona FC | 7 : 1 |
| 32 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 33 | Sarasota Paradise | FC Naples | 1 : 2 |
| 34 | Little Rock Rangers | Birmingham | 1 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 40 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 41 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 45 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 47 | Chattanooga | Corpus Christi FC | 1 : 0 |
| 48 | New Jersey Alliance | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 49 | Long Island | Charlotte Independ. | 2 : 3 |
| 50 | Carolina Core | Soda City | 4 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 56 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 57 | DC United | Bye | |
| 61 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 63 | Tormenta | Harbor City | 3 : 0 |
| 64 | Texoma | Foro | 1 : 2 |
| 65 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 67 | West Chester Utd | Loudoun | 2 : 3 |
| 68 | Richmond Kickers | Virginia Dream | 1 : 3 |
| 72 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 73 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 77 | Sporting Kansas City II | Menace | 1 : 2 |
| 78 | Flatirons | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 80 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 81 | Hartford Athletic | New York Shockers | 3 : 0 |
| 82 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Faialense | 4 : 0 |
| 84 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 88 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 89 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 93 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 95 | Motown | Westchester SC | |
| 96 | Cincinnati 2 | New York Pancyprian | 0 : 1 |
| 97 | Tacoma Defiance | Washington AC | 3 : 1 |
| 98 | Ballard | Spokane Velocity | 0 : 1 |
| 100 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 104 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 105 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 107 | Monterey Bay | International SF | 4 : 0 |
| 108 | Real Monarchs | El Farolito | 1 : 3 |
| 112 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 113 | Forward Madison | Duluth FC | 5 : 1 |
| 114 | Tulsa Athletic | FC Tulsa | 0 : 1 |
| 116 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 120 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 121 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 125 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 127 | Ventura County | Laguna United | 7 : 0 |
| 128 | El Paso | Harpos | 5 : 1 |
1/64-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 3 | Indy Eleven | Bye | |
| 4 | Inter Miami II | Miami FC | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew 2 | Lexington | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Pittsburgh | |
| 8 | Bye | New York City | |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | Bye | |
| 10 | Greenville | One Knoxville | 1 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 13 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 15 | AV Alta | Los Angeles FC II | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Orange County SC | |
| 17 | FC Naples | Little Rock Rangers | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Bye | Tampa Bay | |
| 20 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 21 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 23 | Las Vegas Lights | Bye | |
| 24 | Chattanooga | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Charlotte Independ. | Carolina Core | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | North Carolina | |
| 28 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 29 | DC United | Bye | |
| 31 | Charleston | Bye | |
| 32 | Tormenta | Foro | 3 : 2 |
| 33 | Louisville City | Bye | |
| 34 | Loudoun | Virginia Dream | 4 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 37 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 39 | Menace | Union Omaha | 1 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | San Antonio | |
| 41 | Hartford Athletic | Portland Hearts of Pine | 1 : 2 |
| 42 | Bye | Rhode Island | |
| 44 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 45 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 47 | Detroit | Bye | |
| 48 | Westchester SC | New York Pancyprian | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Tacoma Defiance | Spokane Velocity | 2 : 1 |
| 50 | Bye | Oakland Roots | |
| 52 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 53 | Sacramento Republic | Bye | |
| 54 | Monterey Bay | El Farolito | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 57 | Forward Madison | FC Tulsa | 1 : 3 |
| 58 | Bye | Phoenix Rising | |
| 60 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 61 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 63 | New Mexico | Bye | |
| 64 | Ventura County | El Paso | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Indy Eleven | Miami FC | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew 2 | Pittsburgh | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | One Knoxville | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | New York Red Bulls | |
| 7 | FC Dallas | Bye | |
| 8 | AV Alta | Orange County SC | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | FC Naples | Tampa Bay | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Orlando City | |
| 11 | Nashville SC | Bye | |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Charlotte Independ. | North Carolina | 1 : 3 |
| 14 | Bye | Charlotte | |
| 15 | DC United | Bye | |
| 16 | Charleston | Tormenta | 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Louisville City | Loudoun | 2 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Minnesota United | |
| 19 | St. Louis City | Bye | |
| 20 | Union Omaha | San Antonio | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Portland Hearts of Pine | Rhode Island | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Bye | New England Revolution | |
| 23 | Chicago Fire | Bye | |
| 24 | Detroit | Westchester SC | 3 : 1 |
| 25 | Tacoma Defiance | Oakland Roots | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Bye | Portland Timbers | |
| 27 | Sacramento Republic | El Farolito | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | San Jose Earthquakes | |
| 29 | FC Tulsa | Phoenix Rising | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bye | Houston Dynamo | |
| 31 | Austin FC | Bye | |
| 32 | New Mexico | El Paso | 2 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Indy Eleven | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pittsburgh | New York City | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | New York Red Bulls | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | AV Alta | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Tampa Bay | Orlando City | 0 : 5 |
| 6 | Nashville SC | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | North Carolina | Charlotte | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | DC United | Charleston | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Louisville City | Minnesota United | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | Union Omaha | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Rhode Island | New England Revolution | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | Detroit | 4 : 0 |
| 13 | Tacoma Defiance | Portland Timbers | 2 : 3 |
| 14 | Sacramento Republic | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Phoenix Rising | Houston Dynamo | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Austin FC | El Paso | 3 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Pittsburgh | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | FC Dallas | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Orlando City | Nashville SC | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Charlotte | DC United | 3 : 4 |
| 5 | Minnesota United | St. Louis City | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | New England Revolution | Chicago Fire | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | San Jose Earthquakes | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | Austin FC | 1 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | New York Red Bulls | |
| 2 | Nashville SC | DC United | |
| 3 | Minnesota United | Chicago Fire | |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | Austin FC | |
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