Charlotte vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Charlotte - Toronto FC
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
Charlotte - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.09
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
616
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Long passes
56% (20/36)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)75% (93/124)
Crosses
50% (3/6)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.60
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
166
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
2639
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.091.90
Goals prevented
1.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. , Bronico B. (A),
  • 62', Longstaff M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bronico B. , Williamson E. ,
  • 72', Osorio J. , Flores D. ,
  • 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Dominguez M. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 89', Long K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 89', Toklomati I. , Smalls T. ,
  • 89', Biel P. , Petkovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
62.5%
Draw
20.7%
Toronto FC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.9% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.61)
    4.51
    (4.13)
    5.59
    (5.14)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
    • Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    13.04.2024 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:2
    09.03.2024 Toronto FC - Charlotte 1:0
    04.10.2023 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:0
    01.04.2023 Toronto FC - Charlotte 2:2
    Latest results of Charlotte
    19.07.2025 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2
    28.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Charlotte 3:2
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Charlotte - Toronto FC?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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