St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS
Soccer MLS St. Louis City - Portland Timbers
Result
2:1
13/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Montero R. (Cos)
St. Louis City - Portland Timbers - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.441.90
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
4321
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
910
Passes
88% (476/539)89% (426/480)
Long passes
52% (13/25)57% (28/49)
Passes in final third
81% (134/166)82% (116/142)
Crosses
35% (6/17)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.670.55
Throw-ins
136
Fouls
109
Tackles
61% (11/18)73% (8/11)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1727
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.902.44
Goals prevented
0.600.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Pereira da Costa D. ⚽, Moreno S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Fory J. ↓, Smith I. ↑,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Joao Klauss (A),
  • 59', Ortiz J. 🟨,
  • 64', Kelsy K. 🟨,
  • 65', Moreno S. ↓, Fernandez O. ↑,
  • 65', Ortiz J. ↓, Chara D. ↑,
  • 66', Ostrak T. ↓, Lowen E. ↑,
  • 67', Pompeu C. ↓, Becher S. ↑,
  • 67', 2 - 1, Hartel M. ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
  • 75', Ayala D. ↓, Paredes C. ↑,
  • 75', Zuparic D. ↓, Guerra G. ↑,
  • 77', Mosquera J. 🟨,
  • 79', Miller K. 🟨,
  • 82', Teuchert C. ↓, Watts A. ↑,
  • 90+2', Joao Klauss 🟨,
  • 90+3', Orozco J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Orozco J. ↓, Hiebert K. ↑,

Chances of winning


St. Louis City
43.7%		Draw
24.7%		Portland Timbers
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 25.2% 34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 27.5% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    St. Louis City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.17 ↓
    (2.33)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.78)    		 2.99 ↑
    (2.79)    		 5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for St. Louis City - Portland Timbers?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Portland will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 29.6% – 90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. St. Louis City (votes: 1 - 50%). Portland (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
    • St. Louis City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Portland is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Portland has had a series of home games.
    • St. Louis City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in St. Louis City: Baumgartl T. (Knee Injury) Durkin C. (Knee Injury) Kessler H. (Hamstring Injury) Lowen E. (Hamstring Injury) Nilsson J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Antony (Hamstring Injury) Lassiter A. (Hand Injury) Rodriguez J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in St. Louis City: Morales A. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis City - Portland Timbers were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1
    24.08.2024 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 4:4
    09.08.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 3:1
    08.06.2024 St. Louis City - Portland Timbers 0:0
    11.03.2023 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 1:2
    Latest results of St. Louis City
    05.07.2025 Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City 3:2 ✺
    28.06.2025 Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City 1:0 ✺
    25.06.2025 St. Louis City - Orlando City 2:4 ✺
    14.06.2025 St. Louis City - Los Angeles Galaxy 3:3 ✺
    08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Portland Timbers
    05.07.2025 Portland Timbers - New England Revolution 2:1 ✺
    28.06.2025 Toronto FC - Portland Timbers 3:0 ✺
    13.06.2025 Portland Timbers - San Jose Earthquakes 1:1 ✺
    08.06.2025 Portland Timbers - St. Louis City 2:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Portland Timbers - Colorado Rapids 2:1 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC29175754:342056
    2Minnesota United29149648:321651
    3Vancouver Whitecaps27147647:311649
    4Seattle Sounders27128748:381044
    5Los Angeles FC26118745:331241
    6Portland Timbers28109936:38-239
    7Austin FC27108929:33-438
    8Colorado Rapids291061338:48-1036
    9San Jose Earthquakes29981253:51235
    10Houston Dynamo28881237:46-932
    11Real Salt Lake27941428:36-831
    12FC Dallas27791139:47-830
    13Sporting Kansas City28761543:57-1427
    14St. Louis City28561733:50-1721
    15Los Angeles Galaxy27471632:55-2319


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union29176649:262357
    2FC Cincinnati29164942:36652
    3Charlotte291621148:40850
    4Nashville SC29155949:331650
    5Orlando City28138754:401447
    6Inter Miami25137554:401446
    7Columbus Crew281210643:39446
    8New York City27135938:32644
    9New York Red Bulls291171142:38440
    10Chicago Fire271161050:48239
    11New England Revolution28871336:40-431
    12Atlanta Utd285111232:49-1726
    13Toronto FC285101328:35-725
    14CF Montreal29591529:51-2224
    15DC United29591526:54-2824

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of St. Louis City - Portland Timbers?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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