Atlanta United vs Charlotte: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Atlanta United - Charlotte
Result
2:3
19/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS
  • Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)
Atlanta United - Charlotte - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.23
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
89% (458/514)86% (386/450)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.23
xG on target (xGOT)
3.262.04
Total shots
198
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3613
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
89% (458/514)86% (386/450)
Long passes
63% (25/40)48% (31/64)
Passes in final third
79% (143/180)67% (62/92)
Crosses
32% (11/34)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.050.87
Throw-ins
1414
Fouls
914
Tackles
70% (7/10)63% (5/8)
Duels won
3823
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
2.043.26
Goals prevented
-0.961.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Muyumba T. , Slisz B. (A),
  • 35', Biel P. 🟨,
  • 41', Hernandez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Morales E. , Amador P. ,
  • 46', 1 - 1, Toklomati I. , Calderon Vargas K. A. (A),
  • 59', 1 - 2, Zaha W. , Biel P. (A),
  • 72', Brennan L. , Lobjanidze S. ,
  • 72', Muyumba T. , Thiare J. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 76', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Smalls T. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Biel P. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 84', Miranchuk Al. , Reilly W. ,
  • 86', 2 - 3, Latte Lath E. , Almiron M. (A),
  • 90+2', Zaha W. , Williamson E. ,

Chances of winning


Atlanta United
41.9%
Draw
25%
Charlotte
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 26.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 27.2% 30.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Atlanta United - Charlotte Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.2)
    3.82
    (3.55)
    2.85
    (3.19)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlanta United - Charlotte?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Charlotte will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 10.6%60.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlanta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Charlotte has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Atlanta has had a series of away games.
    • Atlanta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Fortune A. (Foot Injury) Gregersen S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury) Doumbia S. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta United - Charlotte were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Charlotte - Atlanta United 2:0
    31.08.2024 Charlotte - Atlanta United 0:1
    02.06.2024 Atlanta United - Charlotte 2:3
    13.05.2023 Atlanta United - Charlotte 1:3
    11.03.2023 Charlotte - Atlanta United 0:3
    Latest results of Atlanta United
    Latest results of Charlotte
    16.07.2025 Charlotte - DC United 2:1
    12.07.2025 Charlotte - New York City 2:0
    05.07.2025 Charlotte - Orlando City 2:2
    28.06.2025 Chicago Fire - Charlotte 3:2
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 31176856:381857
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 30168657:322556
    3Minnesota United ✔ 31159751:361554
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 29148757:372050
    5Seattle Sounders30129952:45745
    6Austin FC301281033:37-444
    7Portland Timbers3111101039:41-243
    8Colorado Rapids311161441:52-1139
    9FC Dallas309101145:49-437
    10Houston Dynamo31991340:49-936
    11San Jose Earthquakes31981456:58-235
    12Real Salt Lake301041632:45-1334
    13St. Louis City31771739:52-1328
    14Sporting Kansas City31761845:63-1827
    15Los Angeles Galaxy30491737:61-2421


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 31186750:331760
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3Inter Miami29167664:461855
    4Charlotte ✔ 311721251:42953
    5New York City ✔ 311651046:39753
    6Orlando City30149758:431551
    7Nashville SC311551152:381450
    8Columbus Crew311311751:47450
    9Chicago Fire301361157:53445
    10New York Red Bulls311271245:40543
    11New England Revolution31881539:45-632
    12Toronto FC305121330:37-727
    13Atlanta Utd305121337:55-1827
    14DC United315101629:58-2925
    15CF Montreal31591729:55-2624

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Atlanta United - Charlotte?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaMLS Season Pass
    worldWorldEA Sports FC
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