Freiburg vs Basel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.08
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
80% (323/406)	83% (351/423)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.13	1.39
Total shots
15	15
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
7	7
Shots inside the Box
8	11
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
22	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	10
Passes
80% (323/406)	83% (351/423)
Long passes
35% (22/62)	59% (22/37)
Passes in final third
64% (67/104)	77% (103/133)
Crosses
25% (4/16)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.73
Throw-ins
17	24
Fouls
10	16
Tackles
67% (10/15)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
57	55
Clearances
25	39
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.39	1.13
Goals prevented
0.39	-0.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Osterhage P. ⚽,
42', Tsunemoto K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Eggestein M. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
58', Tsunemoto K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
58', Junior Ze ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
58', Salah I. ↓, Otele P. ↑,
60', Magnin L. 🟨,
70', Grifo V. 🟨,
71', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
71', Beste J. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
72', Ajeti Al. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
75', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
75', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
83', Adjetey J. ↓, Ruegg K. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Otele P. ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
89', Treu P. 🟨,
90', Manzambi J. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
90+3', Ajeti Al. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Freiburg
62%

Draw
21.1%

Basel
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

22.4%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Freiburg - Basel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.72)	4.57 ↑ (4.22)	5.54 ↑ (4.19)	3.5% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Freiburg - Basel?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

In recent matches, Freiburg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Basel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
In this match, Freiburg is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Freiburg: Beste J. (Inactive) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Basel: Traore B. (Leg Injury) van Breemen F. (Knee Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Basel?

Freiburg has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Freiburg?

Basel has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Basel were as follows:

06.09.2024 Freiburg - Basel 6:0

07.01.2023 Freiburg - Basel 3:2

Latest results of Freiburg

20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3 ✺

16.08.2025 Sportfreunde Lotte - Freiburg 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Basel

19.09.2025 Étoile Carouge - Basel 2:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Thun - Basel 1:3 ✺

30.08.2025 Sion - Basel 0:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Copenhagen - Basel 2:0 ✺

20.08.2025 Basel - Copenhagen 1:1 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
3	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
4	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
5	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
6	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
7	D. Zagreb	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
8	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
10	Genk	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
12	FC Porto	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
13	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
14	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
15	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
18	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
19	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
20	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
21	Nottingham	1	0	1	0	2:2	0	1
22	Crvena zvezda	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
23	Ferencvaros	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
24	PAOK	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
25	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
26	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
27	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
28	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
29	Basel	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
30	Salzburg	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
31	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
32	Rangers	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
33	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
34	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
35	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Freiburg - Basel?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Belgium	VOOsport World 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	RTL+, RTL Nitro
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+