Auxerre vs Toulouse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer French Ligue 1 Auxerre - Toulouse
21/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Auxerre - Toulouse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Auxerre
35.3%
Draw
28.8%
Toulouse
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 28.3% 36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 28.9% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Auxerre - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.73
    (2.68)
    3.39
    (3.37)
    2.68
    (2.62)
    3.5%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Auxerre - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Auxerre will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Auxerre (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 0.
    • Recent form of Auxerre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toulouse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Auxerre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Toulouse were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2
    01.12.2024 Toulouse - Auxerre 2:0
    27.05.2023 Toulouse - Auxerre 1:1
    11.01.2023 Auxerre - Toulouse 0:5
    Latest results of Auxerre
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2
    30.08.2025 Nantes - Auxerre 1:0
    23.08.2025 Nice - Auxerre 3:1
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Auxerre - Levante 0:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG440010:3712
    2Lyon54017:3412
    3Lille431013:5810
    4Monaco43018:539
    5Strasbourg43015:329
    6Rennes42115:6-17
    7Marseille42029:456
    8Nice42025:506
    9Lens42025:506
    10Toulouse42027:8-16
    11Paris FC42027:9-26
    12Angers51223:4-15
    13Le Havre41035:7-23
    14Nantes41031:3-23
    15Auxerre41033:6-33
    16Lorient41035:12-73
    17Brest40135:10-51
    18Metz40133:8-51

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