Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English Premier League
Soccer English Premier League Newcastle United - Arsenal
28/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 6
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
Newcastle United - Arsenal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Newcastle United
27.1%		Draw
28.3%		Arsenal
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 26.2% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 26.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
    •

    Newcastle United - Arsenal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.6 ↑
    (3.2)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.65)    		 2.17
    (2.17)    		 2.7%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Arsenal?
  • Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Arsenal will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 55% – 87%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Arsenal will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3.
    • Newcastle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Arsenal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Ramsey J. (Ankle Injury) Schar F. (Head Injury) Wissa Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Hincapie P. (Muscle Injury) Madueke N. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Odegaard M. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Arsenal were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 3:2
    18.05.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 1:0
    05.02.2025 Newcastle United - Arsenal 2:0
    07.01.2025 Arsenal - Newcastle United 0:2
    02.11.2024 Newcastle United - Arsenal 1:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    24.09.2025 Newcastle United - Bradford City 4:1 ✺
    21.09.2025 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    18.09.2025 Newcastle United - Barcelona 1:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Arsenal
    24.09.2025 Port Vale - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Arsenal - Manchester City 1:1 ✺
    16.09.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Arsenal 0:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Arsenal - Nottingham Forest 3:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Liverpool650112:7515
    2Crystal Palace63308:3512
    3Tottenham632111:4711
    4Sunderland63217:4311
    5Bournemouth63218:7111
    6Manchester City631214:6810
    7Arsenal531110:2810
    8Chelsea622211:838
    9Fulham52216:518
    10Brighton62229:908
    11Leeds62226:9-38
    12Everton52126:517
    13Brentford62139:11-27
    14Manchester Utd62137:11-47
    15Newcastle51313:306
    16Nottingham61235:10-55
    17Burnley61146:13-74
    18Aston Villa50321:5-43
    19West Ham51045:13-83
    20Wolves60154:13-91

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Arsenal?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    Sky Sports UHD 2
    africaAfricaCanal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
    asiaAsiabeIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
    belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
    colombiaColombiaESPN
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
    czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 5, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
    europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
    finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Premier League
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2, Now Sports Premier League TV
    hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 5, SÝN Sport 6, SÝN Sport
    indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    irelandIrelandNOW
    israelIsraelSport 1
    italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Arena
    japanJapanU-NEXT
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, SuperSport 2
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
    malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesMedianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
    mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
    myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
    nepalNepalKantipur Max
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport Premier League
    nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
    norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaVoyo
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
    singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
    surinameSurinameSCCN
    swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY
    turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
    ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
    vietnamVietnamK+ Sport 1
    worldWorldSport 24 At Sea
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