São Paulo vs Internacional RS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Brazilian Serie A São Paulo - Internacional RS
Result
1:3
22/09/2024 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 27
  • Referee: Abatti Abel R. (Bra)
São Paulo - Internacional RS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.770.83
Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
1010
Shots on Goal
35
Shots off Goal
43
Blocked Shots
32
Free Kicks
1819
Corner Kicks
24
Offsides
52
Throw-ins
3220
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Fouls
135
Yellow Cards
51
Total Passes
514328
Completed Passes
453245

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Luciano , Lucas Moura (A),
  • 36', Mercado G. , Rogel A. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Bruno Gomes , Thiago Maia (A),
  • 45+3', Wesley Ribeiro 🟨,
  • 45+6', Andre Silva 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Thiago Maia ,
  • 60', Erick 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Alan Patrick ,
  • 65', Marcos Antonio , Liziero ,
  • 65', Lucas Moura , William Gomes ,
  • 67', Gustavo Prado , Wanderson ,
  • 67', Thiago Maia , Bruno Henrique ,
  • 76', Bobadilla D. , Giuliano Galoppo ,
  • 77', Luciano , Jonathan Calleri ,
  • 77', Erick , Rodrigo Nestor ,
  • 78', Borre R. , Valencia E. ,
  • 78', Fernando , Romulo ,
  • 80', William Gomes 🟨,
  • 84', Jonathan Calleri 🟨,
  • 90', Rodrigo Nestor 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


São Paulo
33.7%
Draw
32.7%
Internacional RS
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.5% 28.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 30.7% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that São Paulo's form might have worsened.
  • Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Internacional RS's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Internacional RS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • São Paulo - Internacional RS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (1.91)
    2.91
    (3.32)
    2.83
    (4.28)
    5.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for São Paulo - Internacional RS?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Internacional will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 16.1%74.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1.
    • Recent matches São Paulo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Internacional in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Internacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently São Paulo have a series of guest games.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in São Paulo: Alisson (Injury) Pablo Maia (Injury)
    • There will not play in Internacional: Ivan (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Internacional: Lucca (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 7 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 23-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Internacional RS were as follows:
    13.06.2024 Internacional RS - São Paulo 0:0
    13.09.2023 Internacional RS - São Paulo 2:1
    07.05.2023 São Paulo - Internacional RS 2:0
    08.11.2022 São Paulo - Internacional RS 0:1
    Latest results of São Paulo
    Latest results of Internacional RS
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ1173124:42024
    2Cruzeiro1273217:8924
    3Bragantino1272314:11323
    4Palmeiras1171312:8422
    5Bahia1263314:11321
    6Fluminense1162315:12320
    7Atletico-MG1255213:10320
    8Botafogo RJ1153314:7718
    9Mirassol1145217:12517
    10Corinthians1244413:15-216
    11Gremio1244412:15-316
    12Ceara1143413:11215
    13Vasco1241714:16-213
    14Sao Paulo1226410:14-412
    15Santos1232711:14-311
    16Vitoria1225510:14-411
    17Internacional1225512:18-611
    18Fortaleza1224612:18-610
    19Juventude112278:24-168
    20Sport Recife110385:18-133

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet

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