Result
10/10/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals
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Chances of winning
Daniil Medvedev
36.3% | Alex De Minaur
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.86) |
|
1.51 ↑
(1.43) |
4%
(4.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 11 - 55%). De Minaur will win (votes: 9 - 45%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Medvedev: 33.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Medvedev is ranked ATP: 18. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 3.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- De Minaur is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that De Minaur will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Daniil Medvedev won against Alex De Minaur?
Daniil Medvedev has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex De Minaur won against Daniil Medvedev?
Alex De Minaur has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur were as follows:
10.04.2025
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alex De Minaur
0:2
12.11.2024
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alex De Minaur
2:0
03.06.2024
Alex De Minaur
-
Daniil Medvedev
3:1
30.09.2023
Alex De Minaur
-
Daniil Medvedev
0:2
04.09.2023
Daniil Medvedev
-
Alex De Minaur
3:1
Latest results of Daniil Medvedev
Latest results of Alex De Minaur
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Moutet C. (33) | Bye | |
| 2 | Tien L. | Kecmanovic M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cazaux A. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Norrie C. (30) | |
| 5 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Bye | |
| 6 | Arnaldi M. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Wu Y. (RET.) (WC) | Svrcina D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Medvedev D. (16) | |
| 9 | Khachanov K. (9) | Bye | |
| 10 | Kovacevic A. | Shang J. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Van De Zandschulp B. | Borges N. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Vukic A. (LL) | |
| 13 | Nakashima B. (29) | Bye | |
| 14 | Majchrzak K. | Quinn E. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Atmane T. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 16 | Bye | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 17 | Zverev A. (3) | Bye | |
| 18 | Royer V. (Q) | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Rinderknech A. | Medjedovic H. (RET.) | 0 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Michelsen A. (28) | |
| 21 | Shapovalov D. (23) | Bye | |
| 22 | Dzumhur D. | O'Connell C. | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | McDonald M. (LL) | Halys Q. | 0 : 2 |
| 24 | Bye | Lehecka J. (15) | |
| 25 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Bye | |
| 26 | Giron M. | Tabilo A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Zhou Y. (WC) | De Jong J. | 1 : 2 |
| 28 | Bye | Mensik J. (17) | |
| 29 | Darderi L. (26) | Bye | |
| 30 | Bu Y. | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 1 |
| 31 | Comesana F. | Blanchet U. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Musetti L. (8) | |
| 33 | Shelton B. (6) | Bye | |
| 34 | Goffin D. | Muller A. | 2 : 1 |
| 35 | Opelka R. | Bonzi B. | 0 : 2 |
| 36 | Bye | Diallo G. (31) | |
| 37 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bye | |
| 38 | Mannarino A. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 39 | Korda S. | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 40 | Bye | Ruud C. (11) | |
| 41 | Rublev A. (13) | Bye | |
| 42 | Nishioka Y. (Q) | Shevchenko A. | 2 : 0 |
| 43 | Munar J. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 1 |
| 44 | Bye | Cobolli F. (22) | |
| 45 | Tiafoe F. (25) | Bye | |
| 46 | Sonego L. | Hanfmann Y. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 47 | Cilic M. | Basilashvili N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 49 | Fritz T. (5) | Bye | |
| 50 | Marozsan F. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 51 | Ofner S. (PR) | Nardi L. | 1 : 2 |
| 52 | Bye | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | |
| 53 | Humbert U. (21) | Bye | |
| 54 | Thompson J. | Holmgren A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 55 | Zhang Z. (WC) | Baez S. | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Bye | Rune H. (10) | |
| 57 | Bublik A. (14) | Bye | |
| 58 | Djere L. | Vacherot V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 59 | Walton A. | Bellucci M. | 0 : 2 |
| 60 | Bye | Machac T. (20) | |
| 61 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Bye | |
| 62 | Brooksby J. (PR) | Trotter J. K. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 63 | Schoolkate T. (Q) | Altmaier D. | 0 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Sinner J. (2) | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Moutet C. (33) | Tien L. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Cazaux A. | Norrie C. (30) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Arnaldi M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Svrcina D. | Medvedev D. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. (9) | Shang J. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Borges N. | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Nakashima B. (29) | Majchrzak K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ugo Carabelli C. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Zverev A. (3) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Rinderknech A. | Michelsen A. (28) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shapovalov D. (23) | O'Connell C. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Halys Q. | Lehecka J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Tabilo A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Mensik J. (17) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Darderi L. (26) | Bu Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Comesana F. | Musetti L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 17 | Shelton B. (6) | Goffin D. | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Bonzi B. | Diallo G. (31) | 0 : 2 |
| 19 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Mannarino A. | 2 : 0 |
| 20 | Bergs Z. | Ruud C. (RET.) (11) | 1 : 1 |
| 21 | Rublev A. (13) | Nishioka Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Munar J. | Cobolli F. (22) | 2 : 0 |
| 23 | Tiafoe F. (25) | Hanfmann Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Cilic M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (5) | Marozsan F. | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Nardi L. | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Humbert U. (21) | Thompson J. | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Baez S. | Rune H. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (14) | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
| 30 | Bellucci M. | Machac T. (20) | 0 : 2 |
| 31 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Altmaier D. | Sinner J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Tien L. | Norrie C. (30) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Davidovich Fokina A. (18) | Medvedev D. (16) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shang J. | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Majchrzak K. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Zverev A. (3) | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Shapovalov D. (23) | Lehecka J. (15) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Darderi L. (26) | Musetti L. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Goffin D. (RET.) | Diallo G. (31) | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Cerundolo F. (19) | Bergs Z. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Nishioka Y. | Munar J. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Hanfmann Y. | Djokovic N. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (5) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Humbert U. (21) | Rune H. (10) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Vacherot V. | Machac T. (RET.) (20) | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Griekspoor T. (27) | Sinner J. (RET.) (2) | 1 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tien L. | Medvedev D. (16) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Borges N. | De Minaur A. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Rinderknech A. | Lehecka J. (15) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | Musetti L. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Diallo G. (31) | Bergs Z. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Djokovic N. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Mpetshi Perricard G. (32) | Rune H. (10) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Vacherot V. | Griekspoor T. (27) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Medvedev D. (16) | De Minaur A. (7) | |
| 2 | Rinderknech A. | Auger-Aliassime F. (12) | |
| 3 | Bergs Z. | Djokovic N. (4) | |
| 4 | Rune H. (10) | Vacherot V. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finalsFinal
Which TV channels are streaming of Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Premier Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
