Heracles Almelo vs Zwolle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Dutch Eredivisie Heracles Almelo - Zwolle
Result
4:2
02/03/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 24
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
Heracles Almelo - Zwolle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.910.74
Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
165
Shots on Goal
53
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
50
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
1618
Offsides
02
Fouls
1816
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
3421
Touches in the Opposition Box
309
Passes
74% (250/340)75% (227/304)
Passes in the final third
57% (71/124)61% (34/56)
Crosses
35% (7/20)33% (2/6)
Tackles
67% (14/21)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
1448
Interceptions
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 8', van der Haar D. 🟨,
  • 8', 1 - 0, De Keersmaecker B. (Pen),
  • 9', 1 - 1, Vente D. ,
  • 18', Monteiro J. 🟨,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Garcia MacNulty A. , Van Den Berg D. (A),
  • 40', Mesik I. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Bruns T. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', van der Haar D. , Lutonda T. ,
  • 46', Aertssen O. , Floranus S. ,
  • 58', 3 - 2, Talvitie J. , Podgoreanu S. (A),
  • 60', Talvitie J. , Engels M. ,
  • 63', 4 - 2, Hornkamp J. , Engels M. (A),
  • 67', Van Den Berg D. , Thomas R. ,
  • 68', Krastev F. , Velanas O. ,
  • 76', Hornkamp J. , Limbombe B. ,
  • 77', Bruns T. , van Oorschot D. ,
  • 82', Monteiro J. , Buitink T. ,
  • 90', De Keersmaecker B. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 90', Podgoreanu S. , Benita M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Heracles Almelo
42.4%
Draw
28.5%
Zwolle
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 26.9% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 26.4% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Heracles Almelo - Zwolle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.38)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    3.26
    (2.8)
    5.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Heracles Almelo - Zwolle?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Zwolle will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 25.5%74.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 1.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Zwolle: Gooijer T. (Knee Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Laursen N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zwolle: Namli Y. (Groin Injury) van der Haar D. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Heracles won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 29:26 (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:10 (average 1.8:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heracles Almelo - Zwolle were as follows:
    01.09.2024 Zwolle - Heracles Almelo 3:0
    28.04.2024 Zwolle - Heracles Almelo 3:1
    01.10.2023 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 2:1
    15.01.2023 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 0:3
    14.10.2022 Zwolle - Heracles Almelo 3:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Latest results of Zwolle
    16.02.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 1:1
    09.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:0
    01.02.2025 Zwolle - Utrecht 3:3
    26.01.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Zwolle 1:4
    18.01.2025 Zwolle - PSV Eindhoven 3:1
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Heracles Almelo - Zwolle?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra
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