Lokomotiv Moscow vs Zenit: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Russian Premier League Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit
Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 23
  • Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.21
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
76% (190/250)88% (535/608)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.471.21
xG on target (xGOT)
0.641.04
Total shots
610
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
03
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
826
Through passes
100% (1/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
76% (190/250)88% (535/608)
Long passes
33% (15/45)71% (34/48)
Passes in final third
63% (36/57)80% (194/243)
Crosses
20% (2/10)12% (3/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.290.99
Fouls
1811
Tackles
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3653
Clearances Total
3318
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.040.64
Goals prevented
0.04-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mostovoy A. , Pedro ,
  • 46', Mimovic O. , Alip N. ,
  • 49', Morozov E. , Lucas Fasson ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. , Barinov D. (A),
  • 69', Gondou L. , Glushenkov M. ,
  • 81', Pedro 🟨,
  • 83', Vorobyev D. , Suleymanov T. ,
  • 83', Pinyaev S. , Sarveli V. ,
  • 83', Barrios W. , Sobolev A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Sobolev A. ,
  • 90+2', Barinov D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pedro 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lokomotiv Moscow
23.8%
Draw
26.5%
Zenit
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.6% 27.1% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5% 30.3% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.
  • Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.06
    (3.02)
    3.64
    (3.63)
    1.94
    (2.45)
    3.7%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 2.
    • Recent matches Lokomotiv is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Zenit is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Lokomotiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Zenit will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Lokomotiv: Barinov D. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Zenit: Gustavo Mantuan (Yellow Cards) Karavaev V. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:36 (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1
    03.12.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit 3:1
    24.09.2023 Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:2
    09.04.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit 1:2
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
    Latest results of Zenit
    30.03.2025 Zenit - Rubin Kazan 4:0
    22.03.2025 Zenit - BATE Borisov 5:0
    12.03.2025 Rostov - Zenit 0:1
    08.03.2025 Fakel - Zenit 0:2
    01.03.2025 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 0:0
    Russian Premier League Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar29197356:233364
    2Zenit29196455:183763
    3Dynamo Moscow29168561:322956
    4CSKA Moscow28167543:192455
    5Spartak Moscow29166751:252654
    6Lokomotiv Moscow28147745:38749
    7Rubin Kazan291261138:43-542
    8FK Rostov291081140:42-238
    9Akron Togliatti291051438:51-1335
    10Krylya Sovetov29861535:50-1530
    11Khimki296111235:51-1629
    12Dynamo Makhachkala296101326:34-828
    13Pari NN29761627:52-2527
    14Akhmat Grozny ✔ 294131227:45-1825
    15Orenburg ✔ 29471826:52-2619
    16Fakel Voronezh ✔ 292111613:41-2817

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Akhmat Grozny is Premier League (Relegation)
    Orenburg is Relegated to FNL
    Fakel Voronezh is Relegated to FNL
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    asiaAsiaQ Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
    belarusBelarusBelarus 5
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
    russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
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