Zebre vs Connacht: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union United Rugby Championship Zebre - Connacht
17/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Zebre - Connacht - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Zebre
40.5%
Draw
4.4%
Connacht
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 4.3% 55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 4.8% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zebre than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Connacht, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zebre - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.3)
    21.03
    (21.5)
    1.7
    (1.69)
    7.4%
    (7.4%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.
    • Zebre has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Connacht is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Connacht could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 301:703. (average 15.1:35.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 176:345. (average 17.6:34.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zebre - Connacht were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Connacht - Zebre 43:12
    20.04.2024 Connacht - Zebre 54:16
    18.02.2023 Zebre - Connacht 34:57
    Latest results of Zebre
    10.05.2025 Leinster - Zebre 76:5
    25.04.2025 Zebre - Edinburgh 25:25
    19.04.2025 Zebre - Glasgow Warriors 6:14
    29.03.2025 Blue Bulls - Zebre 63:24
    22.03.2025 Sharks - Zebre 35:34
    Latest results of Connacht
    10.05.2025 Connacht - Edinburgh 21:31
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    19.04.2025 Stormers - Connacht 34:29
    12.04.2025 Connacht - Racing Métro 40:43
    05.04.2025 Connacht - Cardiff Rugby 35:20
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLPts
    1Leinster171502529:25172
    2Bulls171304487:34663
    3Glasgow Warriors171106463:31459
    4Sharks171205424:39958
    5Stormers17908473:39450
    6Scarlets17917424:37048
    7Benetton17917372:44846
    8Munster17809414:40846
    9Cardiff Rugby17818385:44346
    10Edinburgh17719424:39044
    11Ospreys17719409:42538
    12Ulster177010397:45938
    13Lions177010373:41235
    14Connacht175012398:46035
    15Zebre175111290:48129
    16Dragons171016320:5829

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