Result
2:0
14/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2, clay - Semi-finals
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (25/34) | 58% (28/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 50% (9/18) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 2/2 | 8/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 35% (12/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 35% (8/23) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 3/11 | 0/2 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (40/57) | 58% (37/64) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (27/64) | 30% (17/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (67/121) | 45% (54/121) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 0% (0/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Marco Trungelliti
37.3% | Zdenek Kolar
62.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Trungelliti's form might have worsened.Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zdenek Kolar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(1.99) |
|
1.5 ↓
(1.73) |
6.8%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar?
- Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Kolar will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kolar: 41.6% – 98.4%. - Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zdenek Kolar will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 132. Kolar is ranked ATP: 197.
- Now, both players are in good form.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Kolar will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trungelliti won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Marco Trungelliti won against Zdenek Kolar?
Marco Trungelliti has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zdenek Kolar won against Marco Trungelliti?
Zdenek Kolar has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar were as follows:
22.11.2025
Zdenek Kolar
-
Marco Trungelliti
2:1
07.10.2025
Zdenek Kolar
-
Marco Trungelliti
Canceled
Latest results of Marco Trungelliti
Latest results of Zdenek Kolar
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Forejtek J. | Ouakaa A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Donski A. (Q) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Houkes M. | Pavlovic L. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Vasa E. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Nijboer R. (Q) | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Coulibaly E. | Denolly C. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Iradukunda G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kopp S. | Marrero Curbelo I. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Erhard M. | Martin A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Steiner M. (Q) | Clarke J. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Schwaerzler J. J. (7) | Napolitano S. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Bax F. | Neuchrist M. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Pennaforti G. (Q) | Cuenin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bouchelaghem C. (WC) | Gea A. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Forejtek J. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Donski A. | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Vasa E. | Jianu F. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Denolly C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Kopp S. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Martin A. | Clarke J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Napolitano S. | Neuchrist M. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Cuenin S. (RET.) | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Jianu F. C. | Kolar Z. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Napolitano S. | Gea A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Kolar Z. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. (8) | Gea A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Trungelliti M. (1) | Cecchinato M. (8) | 2 : 1 |
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