Real Oviedo vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

18/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo).

: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.38	0.13
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
2	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
85% (456/535)	73% (218/300)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.38	0.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.01	0.61
Total shots
14	4
Shots on target
2	1
Shots off target
9	2
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
11	1
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
27	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
16	7
Passes
85% (456/535)	73% (218/300)
Long passes
50% (26/52)	32% (21/65)
Passes in final third
76% (127/168)	53% (39/74)
Crosses
29% (6/21)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.15	0.17
Throw-ins
20	25
Fouls
7	16
Tackles
73% (11/15)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
53	47
Clearances
23	22
Interceptions
3	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.61	1.01
Goals prevented
0.45	0.01

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Lopez L. ↓, Vital B. ↑,
30', Vinas F. ↓, Alemao ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Arriaga K. 🟨,
61', Cazorla S. (Pen),
67', Hassan H. ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
67', Cazorla S. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
68', Portillo F. ↓, Seoane J. ↑,
69', Soberon M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
69', Liso A. ↓, Aketxe A. ↑,
74', Tasende D. ↓, Clemente E. ↑,
82', Sans P. 🟨,
86', Colombatto S. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 0, de la Fuente P. ⚽, Paraschiv D. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/fnekacfy

Chances of winning

Real Oviedo
44.8%

Draw
30%

Zaragoza
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

27.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Oviedo's form might have worsened.

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Oviedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Real Oviedo - Zaragoza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.82)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)	3.78 ↓ (4.68)	5.5% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Real Oviedo - Zaragoza?

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Oviedo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 3.
Oviedo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Guti R. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Oviedo won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Oviedo won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Oviedo won against Zaragoza?

Real Oviedo has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Real Oviedo?

Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Oviedo - Zaragoza were as follows:

17.12.2024 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 2:3

12.05.2024 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0

06.11.2023 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 0:0

07.05.2023 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 2:1

09.10.2022 Zaragoza - Real Oviedo 1:1

Latest results of Real Oviedo

11.05.2025 Racing Santander - Real Oviedo 1:1 ✺

03.05.2025 Huesca - Real Oviedo 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Levante 1:0 ✺

20.04.2025 Córdoba - Real Oviedo 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Real Oviedo - Ferrol 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Zaragoza

10.05.2025 Zaragoza - Cartagena 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Levante - Zaragoza 5:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Zaragoza - Eibar 2:2 ✺

Draw

Promotion - Play Offs

Semi-finals

1	R. Oviedo (3)	Almeria (6)	2 : 1
2	Mirandes (4)	Racing Santander (5)	3 : 3

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2

Which TV channels are streaming of Real Oviedo - Zaragoza?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
India	FanCode, FanCode, GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+