Castellón vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

30/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana).

: LaLiga2 - Round 42
Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.61	1.66
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
11	5
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Passes
77% (282/366)	80% (344/431)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61	1.66
xG on target (xGOT)
2.78	1.26
Total shots
23	12
Shots on target
11	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
7	4
Shots inside the Box
19	7
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	3
Corner Kicks
8	3
Touches in opposition box
36	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
5	17
Passes
77% (282/366)	80% (344/431)
Long passes
39% (22/56)	44% (27/61)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)	62% (80/129)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.40	0.36
Throw-ins
21	25
Fouls
17	5
Tackles
60% (9/15)	67% (10/15)
Duels won
30	51
Clearances
23	25
Interceptions
14	16
Errors leading to shot
3	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	7
xGOT faced
1.26	2.78
Goals prevented
-0.04	-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Sanchez R. ⚽, Lottin A. (A),
20', Moyita S. 🟨,
29', van den Belt T. 🟨,
33', 3 - 0, Moyita S. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
45+4', Clemente E. 🟨,
45+6', 4 - 0, Calatrava A. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Camara O. 🟨,
54', Calatrava A. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
54', Moyita S. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
54', Jimenez A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
59', Clemente E. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
59', Guti R. ↓, Sans P. ↑,
59', Bazdar S. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Gomez D. (Pen),
70', Calero I. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
75', Sans P. ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
76', Camara O. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
84', Abedzadeh A. ↓, Crettaz G. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yc7w2n5p

Chances of winning

Castellón
49%

Draw
24.1%

Zaragoza
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

26.9%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2%)

Castellón - Zaragoza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)	3.91 ↑ (3.51)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)	6.3% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Castellón - Zaragoza?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 52.6% – 89%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Castellón will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Castellón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Chirino D. (Red Card) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury) Willems J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Zaragoza: Bare K. (Calf Injury) Lopez L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Castellón: Moyita S. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Castellón won against Zaragoza?

Castellón has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Castellón?

Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Castellón - Zaragoza were as follows:

26.10.2024 Zaragoza - Castellón 1:2

Latest results of Castellón

25.05.2025 Granada - Castellón 2:1 ✺

18.05.2025 Castellón - Eldense 1:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Mirandés - Castellón 3:2 ✺

05.05.2025 Castellón - Sporting de Gijón 4:3 ✺

27.04.2025 Málaga - Castellón 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Zaragoza

25.05.2025 Zaragoza - Deportivo La Coruña 1:0 ✺

18.05.2025 Real Oviedo - Zaragoza 1:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Zaragoza - Cartagena 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Ferrol - Zaragoza 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Zaragoza - Huesca 1:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gijon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Cordoba	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Las Palmas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Castellon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Albacete	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Eibar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cadiz CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Burgos CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huesca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Almeria	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Dep. La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Valladolid	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Zaragoza	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Real Sociedad B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cultural Leonesa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leganes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Ceuta	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Granada CF	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Mirandes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Andorra	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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Which TV channels are streaming of Castellón - Zaragoza?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+