Almería vs Zaragoza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

15/03/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Power Horse Stadium (Almería).

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 31
Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.21	0.19
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
17	5
Shots on Goal
4	0
Shots off Goal
9	2
Blocked Shots
4	3
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
8	3
Shots inside the Box
12	3
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
Free Kicks
18	9
Offsides
2	2
Fouls
9	18
Yellow Cards
1	1
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
14	17
Touches in the Opposition Box
26	16
Passes
78% (312/400)	79% (354/448)
Passes in the final third
56% (56/100)	57% (63/110)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	20% (2/10)
Tackles
55% (16/29)	54% (7/13)
Clearances Total
23	20
Interceptions
16	10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', Lopy D. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Gonzalez E. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Suarez L. ⚽, Puigmal A. (A),
25', 2 - 1, Gonzalez E. (Own goal),
45+1', Luna M. 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 1, Melamed N. ⚽, Suarez L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tasende D. ↓, Calero I. ↑,
46', Puigmal A. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
53', 4 - 1, Pubill M. ⚽, Robertone L. (A),
60', Moya T. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
60', Soberon M. ↓, Bazdar S. ↑,
60', Luna M. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
66', Melamed N. ↓, Lazaro ↑,
66', Robertone L. ↓, Clua Oya S. ↑,
78', Melero G. ↓, Arribas S. ↑,
81', Bazdar S. 🟥,
87', Pubill M. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Almería
58.4%

Draw
23.8%

Zaragoza
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

19.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaragoza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almería - Zaragoza Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	3.96 ↑ (3.92)	5.33 ↑ (4.89)	6.1% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Almería - Zaragoza?

The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Almería will win! (18 of 21 users predict this).

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 3.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Almería is a favorite.
There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Chumi (Inactive) Fettal R. (Knee Injury) Gui Guedes (Inactive)
There will not play in Zaragoza: Guti R. (Inactive) Lopez L. (Inactive) Nieto C. (Inactive)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Almería won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:5 (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Almería won against Zaragoza?

Almería has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Almería?

Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Zaragoza were as follows:

20.10.2024 Zaragoza - Almería 1:2

Latest results of Almería

07.03.2025 Eibar - Almería 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Almería - Málaga 2:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Sporting de Gijón - Almería 1:1 ✺

17.02.2025 Almería - Elche 1:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Deportivo La Coruña - Almería 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Zaragoza

08.03.2025 Zaragoza - Eldense 2:4 ✺

01.03.2025 Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Granada - Zaragoza 2:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Zaragoza - Burgos 0:1 ✺

07.02.2025 Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga2 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Elche	39	20	11	8	52:32	20	71
2	Levante	39	19	13	7	64:40	24	70
3	Mirandes	39	20	8	11	54:38	16	68
4	Racing Santander	39	19	10	10	60:45	15	67
5	R. Oviedo	39	18	12	9	52:41	11	66
6	Almeria	39	17	11	11	68:55	13	62
7	Granada CF	39	16	11	12	59:49	10	59
8	Huesca	39	16	10	13	53:42	11	58
9	Cordoba	39	14	12	13	56:56	0	54
10	Albacete	39	14	12	13	54:55	-1	54
11	Burgos CF	39	15	9	15	37:42	-5	54
12	Dep. La Coruna	39	13	14	12	54:46	8	53
13	Eibar	39	13	13	13	39:39	0	52
14	Cadiz CF	39	13	13	13	50:50	0	52
15	Gijon	39	12	14	13	51:50	1	50
16	Castellon	39	13	10	16	59:59	0	49
17	Malaga	39	11	16	12	38:41	-3	49
18	Zaragoza	39	12	12	15	54:58	-4	48
19	Eldense	39	11	10	18	38:56	-18	43
20	Tenerife ✔	39	8	12	19	35:51	-16	36
21	Racing Club Ferrol ✔	39	5	12	22	21:60	-39	27
22	FC Cartagena SAD ✔	39	5	5	29	29:72	-43	20

      Promotion ~ LaLiga
      Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Tenerife is Relegated to
Racing Club Ferrol is Relegated to
FC Cartagena SAD is Relegated to

Which TV channels are streaming of Almería - Zaragoza?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+