Zambia vs Kenya, African Nations Championship: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer African Nations Championship Zambia - Kenya
Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : African Nations Championship
Zambia - Kenya - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.522.04
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
78% (251/322)85% (388/458)
Yellow Cards
40
Expected Goals (xG)
0.522.04
xG on target (xGOT)
0.162.96
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
87
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
733
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
129
Passes
78% (251/322)85% (388/458)
Long passes
33% (16/48)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
56% (45/81)67% (86/129)
Crosses
13% (2/16)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.341.44
Throw-ins
2517
Fouls
1112
Tackles
82% (14/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4342
Clearances
1924
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.960.16
Goals prevented
1.960.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Tembo O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Mumba P. 🟨,
  • 53', Kampamba K. 🟨,
  • 54', Mwanza K. 🟨,
  • 59', Odhiambo A. , Juma M. ,
  • 59', Sakwa D. , Muchiri B. ,
  • 61', Mumba P. , Sichalwe T. ,
  • 61', Mwanza K. , Kasanga K. ,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Ogam R. , Muchiri B. (A),
  • 77', Omondi B. S. , Oluoch F. ,
  • 77', Ogam R. , Okwaro M. ,
  • 77', Onyango A. , Sakari D. ,
  • 87', Banda M. , Chepeshi B. ,
  • 87', Tembo O. , Bwalya L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zambia
27.2%
Draw
32.6%
Kenya
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 32.9% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zambia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Kenya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Zambia - Kenya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    2.34
    (2.4)
    5.6%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Zambia - Kenya?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zambia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kenya will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kenya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kenya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Zambia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zambia - Kenya were as follows:
    27.06.2024 Zambia - Kenya 0:2
    Latest results of Zambia
    14.08.2025 Morocco - Zambia 3:1
    10.08.2025 Zambia - Angola 1:2
    07.08.2025 D.R. Congo - Zambia 2:0
    11.06.2025 Botswana - Zambia 3:3
    06.06.2025 Zambia - Comoros 0:1
    Latest results of Kenya
    10.08.2025 Kenya - Morocco 1:0
    07.08.2025 Angola - Kenya 1:1
    03.08.2025 Kenya - D.R. Congo 1:0
    10.06.2025 Kenya - Chad 2:1
    23.03.2025 Kenya - Gabon 1:2
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)2 : 1
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)Sudan (D1)
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    3rd place
    Which TV channels are streaming of Zambia - Kenya?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 4, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 4, Supersport WWE
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
    israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
    south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SuperSport WWE
    ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
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