Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
81% (365/448) | 72% (197/272) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.87 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.96 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
10 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
81% (365/448) | 72% (197/272) |
Long passes |
---|
54% (31/57) | 40% (23/57) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (129/187) | 46% (31/67) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/23) | 43% (3/7) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.38 | 0.39 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 67% (14/21) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
12 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 0.96 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Abdelmaguid H. (Pen),
- 37', Dabbagh O. ↓, Mansy N. ↑,
- 38', Dunga N. 🟨,
- 44', El Said A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Mansy N. 🟨,
- 61', Ibrahim Y. 🟨,
- 69', Mohamed T. ↓, El Shahat H. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, El Shahat H. ⚽, Sherif M. (A),
- 77', Kaied A. ↓, Maali A. ↑,
- 77', Maher N. ↓, Nasser A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Trezeguet (Pen),
- 79', Trezeguet 🟨,
- 84', Dunga N. ↓, Sherif A. ↑,
- 85', Bentayg M. ↓, Fatouh A. ↑,
- 85', Ben Romdhane M. ↓, Dieng A. ↑,
- 85', Sherif M. ↓, Abdelkader A. ↑,
- 90+5', Trezeguet ↓, Kamal O. ↑,
- 90+6', Bencharki A. ↓, Reda A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al Ahly Cairo 44% | Draw 31.7% | Zamalek 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Ahly Cairo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Zamalek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamalek than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.02) |
2.95 ↓ (3.03) |
3.85 ↓ (3.99) |
7.1% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Al Ahly will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Zamalek will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al Ahly (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 2.
- Al Ahly has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zamalek is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al Ahly is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Ahly won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al Ahly won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al Ahly Cairo won against Zamalek?
Al Ahly Cairo has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamalek won against Al Ahly Cairo?
Zamalek has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek were as follows:
11.03.2025
Zamalek
-
Al Ahly Cairo
Zamalek awarded
22.02.2025
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:1
24.10.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:0
27.09.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
1:2
25.06.2024
Al Ahly Cairo
-
Zamalek
Al Ahly awarded
Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
Latest results of Zamalek
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Al Masry | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
2 | Zamalek | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
3 | Al Ahly | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 | 6 | 18 |
4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Enppi | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 17 |
6 | Wadi Degla | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
7 | Pyramids | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
8 | Smouha | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Petrojet | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 14 |
10 | El Gouna | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 12 |
11 | ZED | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Modern Sport | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
13 | National Bank Egypt | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
14 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 11 |
15 | Haras El Hodood | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
16 | El Gaish | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 9 |
17 | Al Ittihad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 8 |
18 | Kahrabaa Ismailia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
19 | Pharco | 9 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 6 |
20 | Arab Contractors | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
21 | El Ismaily | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2:13 | -11 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Which TV channels are streaming of Al Ahly Cairo - Zamalek?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |