Radomiak Radom vs Zagłębie Lubin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów (Radom).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 27
Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	0.63
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	5
Passes
71% (273/386)	64% (203/318)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.51	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	0.53
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
7	5
Touches in opposition box
24	22
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
10	14
Passes
71% (273/386)	64% (203/318)
Long passes
35% (24/68)	39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
53% (62/116)	47% (37/78)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.88
Fouls
14	10
Tackles
47% (7/15)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
50	56
Clearances Total
14	27
Interceptions
7	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.53	0.08
Goals prevented
-0.47	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Orlikowski I. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Burch M. ↓, Capita ↑,
58', Jordao B. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
64', Tapsoba A. 🟨,
70', Tapsoba A. ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
70', Kaput M. ↓, Ramos F. ↑,
71', Kurminowski D. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
71', Pienko T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
73', Corluka J. 🟨,
80', Mroz M. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
82', Dadashov R. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
87', Kludka B. 🟨,
90+1', Szmyt K. ↓, Wozniak A. ↑,
90+2', Listkowski M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Radomiak Radom
43.5%

Draw
28.2%

Zagłębie Lubin
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

27%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.26)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	3.29 ↑ (3.11)	6.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 57.1% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 2.
Radomiak in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Zagłębie Lubin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Zagłębie Lubin have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Injury) Szafranek W. (Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Radomiak to win the game is with odds 2.28.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Radomiak won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.4:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Radomiak won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:11 (average 1.3:3.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Radomiak Radom has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Radomiak Radom?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:

29.09.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 1:0

28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 3:4

29.10.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 2:3

06.03.2023 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

30.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Radomiak Radom 1:3 ✺

14.03.2025 Radomiak Radom - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Cracovia - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

28.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Widzew Łódź 1:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Chrobry Głogów 1:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Korona Kielce 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Piast Gliwice 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 7
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	SportKlub 7
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV