Result
6:2
15/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.71 | 0.82 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
74% (198/268) | 78% (305/389) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.71 | 0.82 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.97 | 0.62 |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
7 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
33 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
74% (198/268) | 78% (305/389) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (25/56) | 37% (13/35) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (64/98) | 63% (63/100) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (3/16) | 6% (1/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (13/20) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
---|
55 | 42 |
Clearances |
---|
44 | 42 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.62 | 3.97 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.38 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kludka B. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Radwanski A. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Vojtko M. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Bobcek T. ↑,
- 46', Viunnyk B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 2, Awad M. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 61', 3 - 2, Yakuba R. (Pen),
- 65', 4 - 2, Sypek J. ⚽, Kosidis M. (A),
- 72', Radwanski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 72', Sypek J. ↓, Lucic L. ↑,
- 72', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 73', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kalahur M. ↑,
- 73', Jaunzems A. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
- 80', Kludka B. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 2, Szmyt K. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 90+2', 6 - 2, Nalepa M. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 90+2', Kosidis M. ↓, Popielec C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin 40.4% | Draw 26.1% | Lechia Gdańsk 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↑ (2.2) |
3.6 ↑ (3.2) |
2.79 ↓ (3.15) |
6.1% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Orlikowski I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
17.02.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:3
11.08.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:1
06.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:3
24.10.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:3
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |