Zagłębie Lubin vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk
Result
6:2
15/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.82
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (198/268)78% (305/389)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.710.82
xG on target (xGOT)
3.970.62
Total shots
227
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
101
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
95
Passes
74% (198/268)78% (305/389)
Long passes
45% (25/56)37% (13/35)
Passes in final third
65% (64/98)63% (63/100)
Crosses
19% (3/16)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.77
Throw-ins
1919
Fouls
69
Tackles
65% (13/20)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5542
Clearances
4442
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.623.97
Goals prevented
-1.38-2.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Kludka B. , Dabrowski D. (A),
  • 15', 2 - 0, Radwanski A. ,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Vojtko M. , Kapic R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 1)
  • 46', Sezonienko K. , Awad M. ,
  • 46', Kurminowski D. , Bobcek T. ,
  • 46', Viunnyk B. , Glogowski M. ,
  • 57', 2 - 2, Awad M. , Mena C. (A),
  • 61', 3 - 2, Yakuba R. (Pen),
  • 65', 4 - 2, Sypek J. , Kosidis M. (A),
  • 72', Radwanski A. , Wdowiak M. ,
  • 72', Sypek J. , Lucic L. ,
  • 72', Regula M. , Szmyt K. ,
  • 73', Neugebauer T. , Kalahur M. ,
  • 73', Jaunzems A. , Wojtowicz T. ,
  • 80', Kludka B. , Corluka J. ,
  • 84', 5 - 2, Szmyt K. , Dabrowski D. (A),
  • 90+2', 6 - 2, Nalepa M. , Dabrowski D. (A),
  • 90+2', Kosidis M. , Popielec C. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
40.4%
Draw
26.1%
Lechia Gdańsk
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.2)
    3.6
    (3.2)
    2.79
    (3.15)
    6.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Orlikowski I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B. (Inactive) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3
    11.08.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1
    06.05.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3
    24.10.2022 Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk 0:3
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
    ukraineUkraineSport 2
    usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
    worldWorldSport 2 Baltic
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