Result
1:3
21/04/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 29
- Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/433) | 68% (181/267) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 2.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (349/433) | 68% (181/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/141) | 50% (34/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.54 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.41 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Imaz J. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Szmyt K. ⚽, Pienko T. (A),
- 45+1', Wdowiak M. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 45+4', Kolan J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Skrzypczak M. ↓, Polak C. ↑,
- 55', Szmyt K. 🟨,
- 65', Kurminowski D. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 66', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 66', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 67', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
- 72', Kolan J. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 82', Churlinov D. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 82', Kubicki J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
- 85', Ebosse E. 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, Pienko T. (Pen),
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+6', Radwanski A. 🟨,
- 90+9', 1 - 3, Pienko T. ⚽, Adamski R. (A),
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok
55.1% | Draw
24.3% | Zagłębie Lubin
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.76) |
3.85 ↑
(3.73) |
4.54 ↑
(4.27) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Zagłębie Lubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Zagłębie Lubin have a series of home games.
- In this match Jagiellonia is a favorite.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Dieguez A.
(Knee Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Stojinovic D.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Flach L.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Jagiellonia won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 30:28 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jagiellonia won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.5:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
19.10.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:3
20.04.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:2
20.10.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Zagłębie Lubin
3:0
18.03.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:2
04.09.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Zagłębie Lubin?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
