Zachary Svajda vs Denis Shapovalov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/08/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

.

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
0	3
Double Faults
2	3
1st serve percentage
67%	51%
1st serve points won
76% (34/45)	72% (26/36)
2nd serve points won
50% (11/22)	57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
1/3	6/9
1st return points won
28% (10/36)	27% (12/45)
2nd return points won
54% (19/35)	50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
3/9	2/3
Winners
11	8
Unforced errors
38	34
Net points won
100% (6/6)	56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
67% (45/67)	59% (42/71)
Return Points Won
41% (29/71)	33% (22/67)
Total Points Won
54% (74/138)	46% (64/138)
Last 10 balls
8	2
Match points saved
0	0
Service games won
83% (10/12)	73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)	17% (2/12)
Total games won
57% (13/23)	43% (10/23)

Chances of winning

Zachary Svajda
42.4%

Denis Shapovalov
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zachary Svajda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zachary Svajda than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)		1.66 ↑ (1.57)	4.9% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

What is the prediction for Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Svajda will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Svajda is ranked ATP: 76. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 68.
Recent performances by Svajda have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shapovalov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Svajda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
We predict that Shapovalov will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
The players have not played against each other recently.

How many head-to-head matches has Zachary Svajda won against Denis Shapovalov?

Zachary Svajda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Zachary Svajda?

Denis Shapovalov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

Latest results of Zachary Svajda

27.07.2026 Aleksandar Vukic - Zachary Svajda 2:0 ✺

26.07.2026 Zachary Svajda - Cruz Hewitt Svajda Z. Retired ✺

25.07.2026 Zachary Svajda - Stefan Kozlov 2:0 ✺

04.07.2026 Alex De Minaur - Zachary Svajda 3:1 ✺

02.07.2026 Zachary Svajda - Kamil Majchrzak 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

01.08.2026 Arthur Gea - Denis Shapovalov 2:0 ✺

01.08.2026 Cameron Norrie - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

30.07.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Dalibor Svrcina 2:0 ✺

29.07.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez 2:0 ✺

29.07.2026 Denis Shapovalov - Rinky Hijikata 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Sonego L.	Griekspoor T.	0 : 2
3	Mochizuki S. (Q)	Marozsan F.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Arnaldi M. (30)
5	Humbert U. (24)	Bye
6	Merida Aguilar D.	Draxl L. (WC)	2 : 1
7	Michelsen A.	Struff J-L.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Cerundolo F. (16)
9	Tien L. (12)	Bye
10	Majchrzak K.	Monfils G. (WC)	0 : 2
11	Carreno-Busta P.	Royer V.	1 : 2
12	Bye	Paul T. (17)
13	Collignon R. (32)	Bye
14	Popyrin A. (Q)	Burruchaga R. A.	2 : 1
15	Chan D. (Q)	Tirante T. A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Fritz T. (7)
17	Medvedev D. (4)	Bye
18	Mpetshi Perricard G.	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
19	Hurkacz H. (PR)	Giron M. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Bye	Tabilo A. (25)
21	Khachanov K. (21)	Bye
22	Atmane T.	Draper J. (WC)	2 : 1
23	Fearnley J. (Q)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Mensik J. (13)
25	Ruud C. (9)	Bye
26	Cerundolo J. M.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 0
27	Damm M. (Q)	Tsitsipas S. (Q)	0 : 2
28	Bye	Fonseca J. (22)
29	Bergs Z. (31)	Bye
30	Baez S.	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
31	Walton A. (Q)	Brooksby J.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Shelton B. (5)
33	Lehecka J. (8)	Bye
34	Galarneau A. (WC)	Kopriva V.	0 : 2
35	Munar J.	Hijikata R.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Blockx A. (27)
37	Jodar R. (20)	Bye
38	Fucsovics M.	Moutet C.	0 : 2
39	Mejia N. (Q)	Landaluce M.	2 : 1
40	Bye	Musetti L. (11)
41	Vacherot V. (14)	Bye
42	Berrettini M.	Navone M.	1 : 2
43	Svajda Z.	Shapovalov D. (RET.)	1 : 1
44	Bye	Fils A. (18)
45	Buse I. (29)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C.	Norrie C.	0 : 2
47	Duckworth J.	O'Connell C. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	De Minaur A. (3)
49	Cobolli F. (6)	Bye
50	Bonzi B. (Q)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
51	Kovacevic A.	Borges N.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Etcheverry T. M. (26)
53	Darderi L. (19)	Bye
54	Diallo G. (WC)	Jacquet K. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Vallejo D.	Shang J. (PR)	0 : 2
56	Bye	Rublev A. (10)
57	Tiafoe F. (15)	Bye
58	Shimabukuro S. (Q)	Cilic M.	0 : 2
59	Zheng M. (Q)	Kecmanovic M.	1 : 2
60	Bye	Rinderknech A. (23)
61	Nakashima B. (28)	Bye
62	Vukic A. (Q)	Altmaier D.	1 : 2
63	van Assche L.	Droguet T. (Q)	1 : 2
64	Bye	Faria J.

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Griekspoor T.	1 : 2
2	Marozsan F.	Arnaldi M. (30)	1 : 2
3	Humbert U. (24)	Merida Aguilar D.	0 : 2
4	Michelsen A.	Cerundolo F. (16)	2 : 0
5	Tien L. (12)	Monfils G.	2 : 1
6	Royer V.	Paul T. (17)	0 : 2
7	Collignon R. (32)	Popyrin A.	0 : 2
8	Tirante T. A.	Fritz T. (7)	2 : 0
9	Medvedev D. (4)	Van De Zandschulp B.	0 : 2
10	Hurkacz H.	Tabilo A. (25)	2 : 0
11	Khachanov K. (21)	Atmane T.	0 : 2
12	Fearnley J.	Mensik J. (13)	1 : 2
13	Ruud C. (9)	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 0
14	Tsitsipas S.	Fonseca J. (22)	0 : 2
15	Bergs Z. (31)	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Brooksby J.	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
17	Lehecka J. (8)	Kopriva V.	2 : 0
18	Munar J.	Blockx A. (WO.) (27)
19	Jodar R. (20)	Moutet C.	2 : 1
20	Mejia N.	Musetti L. (11)	0 : 2
21	Vacherot V. (14)	Navone M.	1 : 2
22	Svajda Z.	Fils A. (18)	1 : 2
23	Buse I. (29)	Norrie C.	0 : 2
24	Duckworth J.	De Minaur A. (3)	0 : 2
25	Cobolli F. (6)	Hanfmann Y.	0 : 2
26	Borges N.	Etcheverry T. M. (26)	2 : 0
27	Darderi L. (19)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
28	Shang J.	Rublev A. (10)	2 : 1
29	Tiafoe F. (15)	Cilic M.	2 : 1
30	Kecmanovic M.	Rinderknech A. (23)	1 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (28)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
32	Droguet T.	Faria J.	2 : 0

1/16-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Arnaldi M. (30)	2 : 1
2	Merida Aguilar D.	Michelsen A.	2 : 1
3	Tien L. (12)	Paul T. (17)	2 : 0
4	Popyrin A.	Tirante T. A.	0 : 2
5	Van De Zandschulp B.	Hurkacz H.	2 : 1
6	Atmane T.	Mensik J. (13)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (9)	Fonseca J. (22)	0 : 2
8	Bergs Z. (31)	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
9	Lehecka J. (8)	Blockx A. (27)	2 : 0
10	Jodar R. (20)	Musetti L. (11)	2 : 0
11	Navone M.	Fils A. (18)	0 : 2
12	Norrie C.	De Minaur A. (3)	2 : 1
13	Hanfmann Y.	Borges N.	0 : 2
14	Darderi L. (19)	Shang J.	2 : 1
15	Tiafoe F. (RET.) (15)	Rinderknech A. (23)	0 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (28)	Droguet T.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Griekspoor T.	Merida Aguilar D.	0 : 2
2	Tien L. (12)	Tirante T. A.	2 : 0
3	Van De Zandschulp B.	Mensik J. (13)	0 : 2
4	Fonseca J. (22)	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
5	Lehecka J. (8)	Jodar R. (20)	0 : 2
6	Fils A. (18)	Norrie C.	2 : 0
7	Borges N.	Darderi L. (19)	1 : 2
8	Rinderknech A. (23)	Nakashima B. (28)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Merida Aguilar D.	Tien L. (12)	0 : 2
2	Mensik J. (13)	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
3	Jodar R. (20)	Fils A. (18)	2 : 0
4	Darderi L. (19)	Nakashima B. (28)	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Tien L. (12)	Shelton B. (5)	0 : 2
2	Jodar R. (20)	Nakashima B. (28)	0 : 2

Final

1

Shelton B. (5)

Nakashima B. (28)

2 : 0

Which TV channels are streaming of Zachary Svajda - Denis Shapovalov?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1