Moyuka Uchijima vs Yulia Starodubtseva: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:2
22/04/2026 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals
Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
75
1st serve percentage
58%64%
1st serve points won
67% (31/46)58% (32/55)
2nd serve points won
42% (14/33)61% (19/31)
Break Points Saved
1/44/7
1st return points won
42% (23/55)33% (15/46)
2nd return points won
39% (12/31)58% (19/33)
Break Points Converted
3/73/4
Service Points Won
57% (45/79)59% (51/86)
Return Points Won
41% (35/86)43% (34/79)
Total Points Won
48% (80/165)52% (85/165)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
75% (9/12)77% (10/13)
Return games won
23% (3/13)25% (3/12)
Total games won
48% (12/25)52% (13/25)

Chances of winning


Moyuka Uchijima
35.1%
Yulia Starodubtseva
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 59.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moyuka Uchijima's form might have worsened.
  • Yulia Starodubtseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yulia Starodubtseva's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moyuka Uchijima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yulia Starodubtseva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.34)

    1.47
    (1.59)
    4.4%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva?
    • Users Predictions: Yulia Starodubtseva will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
      Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    Preview Facts
    • Uchijima is ranked WTA: 94. Starodubtseva is ranked WTA: 53.
    • Uchijima is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Starodubtseva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Starodubtseva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Starodubtseva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uchijima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moyuka Uchijima - Yulia Starodubtseva were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Yulia Starodubtseva - Moyuka Uchijima 1:2
    Latest results of Moyuka Uchijima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Stearns P.Boisson L.2 : 0
    3Uchijima M.Starodubtseva Y. (LL)1 : 2
    4ByeCristian J. (29)
    5Bouzkova M. (23)Bye
    6Kalinina A. (Q)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    7Zakharova A.Osorio C.0 : 2
    8ByeOsaka N. (14)
    9Bencic B. (11)Bye
    10Marcinko P.Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)2 : 0
    11Haddad Maia B.Bouzas Maneiro J.0 : 2
    12ByeShnaider D. (18)
    13Baptiste H. (30)Bye
    14Quevedo K. (WC)Williams V. (WC)2 : 0
    15Siegemund L.Begu I.2 : 0
    16ByePaolini J. (8)
    17Swiatek I. (4)Bye
    18Snigur D. (Q)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    19Parks A. (Q)Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    20ByeLi A. (31)
    21Fernandez L. (24)Bye
    22Badosa P. (WC)Grabher J.1 : 2
    23Montgomery R. (WC)Linette M.0 : 2
    24ByeJovic I. (15)
    25Andreeva M. (9)Bye
    26Udvardy P. (LL)Birrell K.2 : 1
    27Galfi D. (Q)Tomljanovic A.2 : 0
    28ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    29Wang Xin. (28)Bye
    30Maria T.Samson L. (WC)0 : 2
    31Bondar A.Golubic V.2 : 0
    32ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Townsend T.Boulter K.0 : 2
    35Putintseva Y.Valentova T.2 : 1
    36ByeKostyuk M. (26)
    37Blinkova A. (Alt)Bye
    38Kalieva E. (Q)Siniakova K.0 : 2
    39McNally C.Volynets K. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeMboko V. (10)
    41Noskova L. (13)Bye
    42Gibson T.Arango E. (WC)0 : 2
    43Tjen J.Charaeva A. (Q)2 : 0
    44ByeSamsonova L. (20)
    45Cirstea S. (25)Bye
    46Jacquemot E.Grant T. C. (Q)0 : 2
    47Selekhmeteva O.Jeanjean L. (Q)0 : 2
    48ByeGauff C. (3)
    49Frech M. (34)Bye
    50Yastremska D.Sierra S.0 : 2
    51Sonmez Z.Martinez Cirez C. (WC)2 : 0
    52ByeBucsa C. (27)
    53Mertens E. (19)Bye
    54Pavlyuchenkova A. (Q)Eala A.0 : 2
    55Pliskova Ka.Kraus S. (Q)2 : 1
    56ByeSakkari M. (33)
    57Potapova A. (LL)Bye
    58Zhang S.Lys E.2 : 0
    59Oliynykova O.Waltert S. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeOstapenko J. (21)
    61Zheng Q. (32)Bye
    62Krueger A.Kenin S.0 : 2
    63Ruse G.Ruzic A.2 : 1
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Stearns P.2 : 0
    2Starodubtseva Y.Cristian J. (29)1 : 2
    3Bouzkova M. (23)Kalinina A.0 : 2
    4Osorio C.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    5Bencic B. (11)Marcinko P.2 : 0
    6Bouzas Maneiro J.Shnaider D. (18)1 : 2
    7Baptiste H. (30)Quevedo K.2 : 0
    8Siegemund L.Paolini J. (8)1 : 2
    9Swiatek I. (4)Snigur D.2 : 0
    10Parks A.Li A. (31)1 : 2
    11Fernandez L. (24)Grabher J.2 : 0
    12Linette M.Jovic I. (15)0 : 2
    13Andreeva M. (9)Udvardy P.2 : 0
    14Galfi D.Kalinskaya A. (22)2 : 0
    15Wang Xin. (28)Samson L.1 : 2
    16Bondar A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    17Pegula J. (5)Boulter K.2 : 0
    18Putintseva Y.Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    19Blinkova A.Siniakova K.0 : 2
    20McNally C.Mboko V. (10)2 : 0
    21Noskova L. (13)Arango E.2 : 0
    22Tjen J.Samsonova L. (20)0 : 2
    23Cirstea S. (25)Grant T. C.2 : 0
    24Jeanjean L.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Frech M. (34)Sierra S.0 : 2
    26Sonmez Z.Bucsa C. (27)2 : 1
    27Mertens E. (19)Eala A.2 : 0
    28Pliskova Ka.Sakkari M. (33)2 : 0
    29Potapova A.Zhang S.2 : 0
    30Waltert S.Ostapenko J. (21)0 : 2
    31Zheng Q. (32)Kenin S.2 : 1
    32Ruse G.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Cristian J. (29)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A.Osaka N. (14)0 : 2
    3Bencic B. (11)Shnaider D. (18)2 : 0
    4Baptiste H. (30)Paolini J. (8)2 : 0
    5Swiatek I. (RET.) (4)Li A. (31)1 : 1
    6Fernandez L. (24)Jovic I. (15)2 : 1
    7Andreeva M. (9)Galfi D.2 : 0
    8Samson L.Bondar A.0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (5)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
    10Siniakova K.McNally C.1 : 2
    11Noskova L. (WO.) (13)Samsonova L. (20)
    12Cirstea S. (25)Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    13Sierra S.Sonmez Z.2 : 1
    14Mertens E. (19)Pliskova Ka.1 : 2
    15Potapova A.Ostapenko J. (21)2 : 1
    16Zheng Q. (32)Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Osaka N. (14)2 : 1
    2Bencic B. (11)Baptiste H. (30)1 : 2
    3Li A. (31)Fernandez L. (24)0 : 2
    4Andreeva M. (9)Bondar A.2 : 1
    5Kostyuk M. (26)McNally C.2 : 0
    6Noskova L. (13)Gauff C. (3)2 : 1
    7Sierra S.Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    8Potapova A.Rybakina E. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Baptiste H. (30)1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (24)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    3Kostyuk M. (26)Noskova L. (13)2 : 0
    4Pliskova Ka.Potapova A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Baptiste H. (30)Andreeva M. (9)0 : 2
    2Kostyuk M. (26)Potapova A.2 : 1

    Final
    1Andreeva M. (9)Kostyuk M. (26)0 : 2
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