Young Boys vs Lugano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Swiss Super League Young Boys - Lugano
Result
3:1
31/08/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 5
  • Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
Young Boys - Lugano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.821.11
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
104
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
84% (307/366)85% (357/422)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.821.11
xG on target (xGOT)
3.221.12
Total shots
1511
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
16
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
84% (307/366)85% (357/422)
Long passes
53% (23/43)52% (34/66)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)63% (62/98)
Crosses
29% (6/21)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.67
Throw-ins
2111
Fouls
1311
Tackles
67% (8/12)50% (8/16)
Duels won
3937
Clearances
1216
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
37
xGOT faced
1.123.22
Goals prevented
0.120.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Doumbia O. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Bedia C. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Marques M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Fassnacht C. , Mambwa O. (A),
  • 58', Dos Santos D. , Pihlstrom E. ,
  • 58', Duville-Parsemain A. , Koutsias G. ,
  • 61', Virginius A. , Pech D. ,
  • 61', Mambwa O. , Hadjam J. ,
  • 70', Belhadj M. , Bottani M. ,
  • 70', Marques M. , Alioski E. ,
  • 76', Fassnacht C. , Colley E. ,
  • 76', Raveloson R. , Lauper S. ,
  • 80', 3 - 1, Bedia C. ,
  • 84', Steffen R. , Behrens K. ,
  • 85', Monteiro J. , Tsimba F. ,

Chances of winning


Young Boys
46.6%
Draw
26.7%
Lugano
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 23.6% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.1% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Young Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Young Boys - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.84)
    3.5
    (3.99)
    3.54
    (3.71)
    5.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Young Boys - Lugano?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Young Boys will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lugano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Young Boys will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Young Boys: Conte F. (Knee Injury) Seiler M. (Injury) Smith R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Lugano: Kendouci A. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Young Boys: Males D. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lugano: Mai L. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Young Boys - Lugano were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Lugano - Young Boys 1:1
    23.02.2025 Young Boys - Lugano 1:0
    10.11.2024 Young Boys - Lugano 2:1
    27.10.2024 Lugano - Young Boys 2:0
    11.05.2024 Young Boys - Lugano 0:1
    Latest results of Young Boys
    10.08.2025 Young Boys - Sion 0:0
    06.08.2025 Basel - Young Boys 4:1
    02.08.2025 Winterthur - Young Boys 1:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    17.08.2025 Cham - Lugano 3:2
    14.08.2025 Celje - Lugano 2:4
    10.08.2025 Lugano - Basel 3:1
    07.08.2025 Lugano - Celje 0:5
    03.08.2025 Sion - Lugano 4:0
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Gallen650114:41015
    2Thun641112:7513
    3Basel640212:8412
    4Young Boys632110:8211
    5Sion531110:5510
    6Zurich631210:11-110
    7Luzern62229:908
    8Grasshoppers613210:1006
    9Lausanne51047:11-43
    10Lugano51045:11-63
    11Servette50236:12-62
    12Winterthur60248:17-92

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    Which TV channels are streaming of Young Boys - Lugano?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 6
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
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