Yoshihito Nishioka vs Luciano Darderi: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Tokyo Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi
Result
0:2
24/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - 1/16-finals
Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
710
Double Faults
00
1st Serve Percentage
70%69%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (36/57)76% (39/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)61% (14/23)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)83% (5/6)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/51)37% (21/57)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (9/23)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
17% (1/6)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
61% (49/80)71% (52/73)
Return Points Won
29% (21/73)39% (31/80)
Total Points Won
46% (70/153)54% (83/153)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
73% (8/11)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)27% (3/11)
Total Games Won
43% (9/21)57% (12/21)

Chances of winning


Yoshihito Nishioka
41.6%
Luciano Darderi
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 62.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yoshihito Nishioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoshihito Nishioka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.48)

    1.63
    (1.51)
    5%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Yoshihito Nishioka - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nishioka will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Darderi will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nishioka: 49.9%90.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Yoshihito Nishioka will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nishioka is ranked ATP: 151. Darderi is ranked ATP: 30.
    • In recent matches, Nishioka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Darderi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Darderi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Yoshihito Nishioka
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Bergs Z.Tabilo A.2 : 1
    3Thompson J.Nakashima B.1 : 2
    4Fucsovics M. (Q)Tiafoe F. (8)2 : 1
    5Ruud C. (4)Mochizuki S. (WC)2 : 1
    6Munar J.Berrettini M.0 : 2
    7Dzumhur D.Vukic A. (Q)1 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Shapovalov D. (7)2 : 0
    9Humbert U. (6)Brooksby J. (PR)0 : 2
    10Nishioka Y. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    11Michelsen A.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    12Medjedovic H.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    13Machac T. (5)Shimabukuro S. (Q)0 : 2
    14Giron M.Korda S.1 : 2
    15Watanuki Y. (WC)Borges N.1 : 2
    16Diallo G.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B.Fucsovics M.2 : 0
    3Ruud C. (4)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    4Vukic A.Altmaier D.2 : 0
    5Brooksby J.Darderi L.2 : 0
    6Quinn E.Rune H. (3)0 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S.Korda S.0 : 2
    8Borges N.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    2Ruud C. (4)Vukic A.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Rune H. (3)2 : 0
    4Korda S.Fritz T. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    2Brooksby J.Fritz T. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fritz T. (2)2 : 0
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