Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
2:3
16/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.97
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
82% (457/554)80% (335/420)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.66
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (457/554)80% (335/420)
Long passes
27% (14/52)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
69% (117/169)75% (100/133)
Crosses
21% (4/19)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.05
Fouls
1511
Tackles
67% (8/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4251
Clearances Total
2529
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.662.26
Goals prevented
-1.340.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Tono D. , Uenaka A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Yajima S. , Yumiba M. ,
  • 46', Haneda K. , Inui T. ,
  • 46', Ahmedov A. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Uenaka A. , Inoue K. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Nakahara H. ,
  • 66', Nakahara H. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Jean Claude (Own goal),
  • 81', Inoue K. , Elber ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Inui T. ,
  • 84', Yan , Amano J. ,
  • 86', Amano J. 🟨,
  • 88', Yumiba M. 🟨,
  • 90', Uno Z. , Ohata R. ,
  • 90+2', Deng T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Capixaba 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
41%
Draw
29.1%
Shimizu S-Pulse
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 29.2% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.4% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.51)
    3.23
    (3.22)
    3.14
    (2.81)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Yokohama FM (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 4.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Recently Yokohama FM have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Kitazume K. (Red Card) Saito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Quinones J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:22 (average 2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:9 (average 1.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds2297628:23534
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare23661119:33-1424
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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