Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 26
Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (490/563)79% (250/318)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.75
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
87% (490/563)79% (250/318)
Long passes
31% (11/36)30% (19/63)
Passes in final third
68% (107/158)78% (78/100)
Crosses
19% (5/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.96
Throw-ins
249
Fouls
1018
Tackles
88% (7/8)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
1138
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.751.77
Goals prevented
-1.250.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. , Kato R. (A),
  • 23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 2, David D. , Watanabe K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tsunoda R. , Yamane R. ,
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Inui T. ,
  • 46', Yajima S. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 46', Hasukawa S. , Yamahara R. ,
  • 61', Watanabe K. , Jean Claude ,
  • 61', David D. , Tanimura K. ,
  • 67', Kato R. 🟨,
  • 70', Yamane R. 🟨,
  • 76', Takahashi T. , Stephens A. ,
  • 77', Yan , Inoue K. ,
  • 78', Shimamoto Y. , Miyamoto K. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. , Jean Claude (A),
  • 83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 84', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 85', Matsubara K. , Yamamura K. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. , Yamahara R. (A),
  • 90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
44.9%
Draw
25.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.93)
    3.66
    (3.75)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    6.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
    • Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Yellow Cards) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto28166652:302254
    2Kashiwa Reysol28158542:281453
    3Vissel Kobe29165837:261153
    4Kashima Antlers28164841:271452
    5Machida29155945:311450
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima29155934:201450
    7Urawa Reds28138739:30947
    8Kawasaki Frontale28129750:381245
    9Gamba Osaka291241338:44-640
    10Cerezo Osaka28109942:39339
    11Okayama281161126:28-239
    12Avispa Fukuoka28910928:28037
    13Shimizu S-Pulse28891131:36-533
    14Verdy28881216:28-1232
    15FC Tokyo28871330:42-1231
    16Nagoya Grampus28781334:42-829
    17Yokohama F. Marinos28671526:35-925
    18Shonan Bellmare28671526:47-2125
    19Yokohama FC28651718:35-1723
    20Albirex Niigata28481627:48-2120

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    chinaChinaK-Ball
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
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