Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

14/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nissan Stadium (Yokohama).

: J1 League - Round 14

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	1.30
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
9	19
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
83% (436/526)	86% (457/531)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.42	1.33
Total shots
9	19
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
4	9
Shots inside the Box
5	14
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
19	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
7	8
Passes
83% (436/526)	86% (457/531)
Long passes
47% (26/55)	47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
72% (92/127)	80% (110/138)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.67	1.02
Throw-ins
22	22
Fouls
8	7
Tackles
58% (7/12)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
40	49
Clearances
11	31
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
1.33	0.42
Goals prevented
-0.67	0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
55', 0 - 1, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
59', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
59', Anderson Lopes ↓, Tono D. ↑,
59', Inoue K. ↓, Yan ↑,
65', Watai M. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
71', Miyaichi R. ↓, Elber ↑,
71', Kato R. ↓, Nagato K. ↑,
73', Suwama K. 🟨,
78', Kakita Y. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
85', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
85', Koizumi Y. ↓, Tezuka K. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Kinoshita K. ⚽, Kubo T. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Yokohama F. Marinos
32.4%

Draw
27.6%

Kashiwa Reysol
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.2%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.67)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	2.42 ↓ (2.64)	5.7% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol?

The most likely score is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3.
Yokohama FM is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kashiwa is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Jean Claude (Injury) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury) Quinones J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Sugioka D. (Hamstring Injury)
We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 2:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

05.10.2024 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0

29.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 4:0

02.09.2023 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0

10.06.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 4:3

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Al-Nassr Riyadh 1:4 ✺

20.04.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3 ✺

12.04.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

10.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama 2:0 ✺

06.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

29.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kashiwa Reysol 1:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Albirex Niigata 1:1 ✺

20.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kashiwa Reysol 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	17	12	1	4	27:12	15	37
2	Kashiwa Reysol	17	9	6	2	20:13	7	33
3	Kyoto	18	9	4	5	27:21	6	31
4	Urawa Reds	17	8	5	4	21:15	6	29
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	16	9	2	5	16:12	4	29
6	Machida	17	7	3	7	20:18	2	24
7	Vissel Kobe	15	7	3	5	16:14	2	24
8	Gamba Osaka	17	7	2	8	21:24	-3	23
9	Cerezo Osaka	16	6	4	6	24:22	2	22
10	Shimizu S-Pulse	17	6	4	7	21:20	1	22
11	Avispa Fukuoka	17	6	4	7	15:17	-2	22
12	Kawasaki Frontale	14	5	6	3	22:14	8	21
13	Shonan Bellmare	17	6	3	8	12:20	-8	21
14	Verdy	17	5	5	7	12:18	-6	20
15	Okayama	16	5	4	7	11:13	-2	19
16	FC Tokyo	16	5	4	7	17:20	-3	19
17	Yokohama FC	17	5	3	9	11:17	-6	18
18	Nagoya Grampus	17	4	5	8	19:25	-6	17
19	Albirex Niigata	15	2	7	6	16:21	-5	13
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	15	1	5	9	11:23	-12	8

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan