Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
3:1
23/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 31
Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.28
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
84% (419/501)82% (339/413)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.841.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.331.41
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
3426
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
84% (419/501)82% (339/413)
Long passes
41% (23/56)38% (15/39)
Passes in final third
76% (127/168)72% (96/134)
Crosses
56% (5/9)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.37
Throw-ins
1816
Fouls
1310
Tackles
67% (8/12)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4241
Clearances
3124
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.412.33
Goals prevented
0.41-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 58', Yuri Araujo , Uenaka A. ,
  • 58', Onaiwu G. , Croux J. ,
  • 58', Suzuki T. , Mitsuta M. ,
  • 58', Yamashita R. , Welton ,
  • 60', 0 - 1, Amano J. ,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Mitsuta M. , Handa R. (A),
  • 69', Yamane R. , Kato R. ,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Hummet D. , Juan Alano (A),
  • 73', Tanimura K. , David D. ,
  • 73', Suzuki T. , Tsunoda R. ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Usami T. ,
  • 85', Juan Alano , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 85', Usami T. , Mito R. ,
  • 86', Hummet D. , Jebali I. ,
  • 90+1', Deng T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
57.1%
Draw
23%
Yokohama F. Marinos
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 24.2% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 24% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gamba Osaka's performance.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.82)
    4.11
    (3.88)
    4.75
    (3.89)
    5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Gamba Osaka will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 2.
    • Gamba Osaka is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Gamba Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gamba Osaka is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Gamba Osaka will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0
    27.10.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:3
    06.07.2024 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 4:0
    10.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0
    12.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers34206852:282466
    2Kashiwa Reysol341712553:332063
    3Vissel Kobe34187943:281561
    4Kyoto33179757:352260
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima34178939:231659
    6Kawasaki Frontale341511865:481756
    7Machida341681049:351456
    8Urawa Reds3414101040:36452
    9Gamba Osaka341551446:52-650
    10Cerezo Osaka3412101252:50246
    11FC Tokyo341191436:46-1042
    12Verdy341191422:35-1342
    13Avispa Fukuoka3410111332:37-541
    14Shimizu S-Pulse3410111338:44-641
    15Okayama341181530:37-741
    16Nagoya Grampus3410101442:50-840
    17Yokohama F. Marinos34971836:44-834
    18Yokohama FC34881823:39-1632
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata344102030:56-2622

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Which TV channels are streaming of Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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