Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama F. Marinos: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 10
Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.43
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (309/362)88% (465/530)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.43
xG on target (xGOT)
1.031.04
Total shots
137
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2913
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
917
Passes
85% (309/362)88% (465/530)
Long passes
42% (18/43)40% (17/42)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)74% (74/100)
Crosses
22% (5/23)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.49
Fouls
179
Tackles
62% (8/13)60% (12/20)
Duels won
4253
Clearances Total
3237
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.041.03
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Tono D. ,
  • 24', Tashiro M. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Fujimoto K. , Miki T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Miyaichi R. , Matsubara K. ,
  • 46', Tashiro M. , Kamijima T. ,
  • 67', Zahedi S. , Ben Khalifa N. ,
  • 67', Fujimoto K. , Iwasaki Y. ,
  • 69', Amano J. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 69', Tono D. , Inoue K. ,
  • 75', Nago S. , Shigemi M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Miki T. , Maejima Y. (A),
  • 88', Yan , Elber ,
  • 89', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 90', Konno K. , Kanamori T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Avispa Fukuoka
42%
Draw
29.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 30.5% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.4% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.23)
    3.19
    (3.09)
    3.23
    (3.45)
    7.1%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Avispa Fukuoka: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
    • Avispa Fukuoka in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Yokohama FM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Avispa Fukuoka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury) Oda I. (Knee Injury) Yuzawa M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Jean Claude (Yellow Cards) Kida T. (Contusion) Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Muscle Injury) Suzuki T. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Quinones J. (Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:19 (average 0.6:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:9 (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    26.06.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    01.03.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1
    28.10.2023 Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:4
    28.05.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0
    10.09.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers25152837:241347
    2Kashiwa Reysol25138435:231247
    3Vissel Kobe25144734:241046
    4Kyoto25136642:301245
    5Machida25134836:251143
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima25134829:181143
    7Urawa Reds25118634:25941
    8Kawasaki Frontale25108740:31938
    9Cerezo Osaka25107840:34637
    10Avispa Fukuoka2598826:25135
    11Gamba Osaka251041129:34-534
    12Okayama25961023:22133
    13Shimizu S-Pulse25871029:32-331
    14Verdy25871016:24-831
    15FC Tokyo25851227:35-829
    16Nagoya Grampus25771129:35-628
    17Shonan Bellmare25661320:39-1924
    18Yokohama F. Marinos25561423:33-1021
    19Yokohama FC25541615:32-1719
    20Albirex Niigata25471425:44-1919

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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