Yibing Wu vs Sebastian Korda: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Tennis ATP Hangzhou Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda
Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou, hard - 1/8-finals
Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
910
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
66%57%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (45/59)73% (27/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (16/30)61% (17/28)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
27% (10/37)24% (14/59)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (11/28)47% (14/30)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)25% (1/4)
Winners
521
Unforced Errors
713
Net Points Won
45% (5/11)75% (12/16)
Service Points Won
69% (61/89)68% (44/65)
Return Points Won
32% (21/65)31% (28/89)
Total Points Won
53% (82/154)47% (72/154)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)77% (10/13)
Return Games Won
23% (3/13)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
59% (16/27)41% (11/27)

Chances of winning


Yibing Wu
37.7%
Sebastian Korda
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yibing Wu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yibing Wu than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.18)

    1.55
    (1.58)
    5%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Yibing Wu - Sebastian Korda?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wu will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Korda will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Korda (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wu is ranked ATP: 196. Korda is ranked ATP: 79.
    • Wu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Korda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Korda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Korda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Korda will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Yibing Wu
    Latest results of Sebastian Korda
    25.08.2025 Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Korda Korda S. retired
    22.08.2025 Sebastian Korda - Marton Fucsovics Fucsovics M. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Bye
    2Kovacevic A.Royer V. (Q)1 : 2
    3Zeppieri G. (Q)Sun F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Navone M.Tien L. (7)1 : 2
    5Moutet C. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Arnaldi M.2 : 1
    7Dzumhur D.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    8Hijikata R. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C. (5)2 : 0
    9Berrettini M. (8)Svrcina D. (LL)0 : 2
    10Bu Y.Zhang Z. (WC)1 : 2
    11Vukic A.Goffin D.2 : 1
    12ByeBublik A. (3)
    13Mannarino A. (6)Wu Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Walton A.Korda S.0 : 2
    15Basavareddy N. (Q)Cilic M.2 : 1
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Rublev A. (1)Royer V.0 : 2
    2Zeppieri G.Tien L. (7)0 : 2
    3Moutet C. (4)Cazaux A.2 : 1
    4Etcheverry T. M.Hijikata R.2 : 0
    5Svrcina D.Zhang Z.2 : 0
    6Vukic A.Bublik A. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Y.Korda S.2 : 1
    8Basavareddy N.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Royer V.Tien L. (7)2 : 1
    2Moutet C. (4)Etcheverry T. M. (RET.)0 : 1
    3Svrcina D.Bublik A. (3)0 : 2
    4Wu Y.Medvedev D. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V.Moutet C. (4)2 : 0
    2Bublik A. (3)Wu Y.2 : 0

    Final
    1Royer V.Bublik A. (3)0 : 2
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