Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis ATP Kitzbuhel Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez
Result
2:1
23/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/8-finals
Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
42
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
71%66%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (53/76)68% (53/78)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (17/31)45% (18/40)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)62% (8/13)
1st Return Points Won
33% (26/78)30% (23/76)
2nd Return Points Won
55% (22/40)45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
38% (5/13)43% (3/7)
Winners
2715
Unforced Errors
6143
Net Points Won
59% (10/17)54% (7/13)
Service Points Won
65% (68/105)60% (70/117)
Return Points Won
40% (47/117)35% (37/105)
Total Points Won
52% (115/222)48% (107/222)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Yannick Hanfmann
47.1%
Sebastian Baez
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yannick Hanfmann's performance.
  • Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Baez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yannick Hanfmann that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.41)

    1.8
    (1.48)
    5.3%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Baez will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hanfmann: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 50%). Baez (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 141. Baez is ranked ATP: 43.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Baez might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hanfmann won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Yannick Hanfmann
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bublik A. (1)Bye
    2Faria J.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Shevchenko A.Galan D. E.2 : 1
    4Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)Fucsovics M. (8)1 : 2
    5Bautista-Agut R. (4)Bye
    6Seyboth Wild T.Engel J. (NG)2 : 0
    7Van De Zandschulp B.Jarry N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Misolic F.Etcheverry T. M. (5)2 : 1
    9Comesana F. (7)Boyer T.2 : 0
    10Cazaux A. (SE)Buse I. (SE)2 : 1
    11Ofner S.Struff J-L. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeMartinez P. (3)
    13Rinderknech A. (6)Bagnis F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Gaston H.Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y. (Q)Neumayer L. (WC)2 : 0
    16ByeBaez S. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Bublik A. (1)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    2Shevchenko A.Fucsovics M. (8)2 : 0
    3Bautista-Agut R. (4)Seyboth Wild T.0 : 2
    4Van De Zandschulp B.Misolic F.2 : 0
    5Comesana F. (7)Cazaux A.0 : 2
    6Struff J-L.Martinez P. (3)2 : 0
    7Rinderknech A. (6)Gombos N.2 : 1
    8Hanfmann Y.Baez S. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Bublik A. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Seyboth Wild T.Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    3Cazaux A.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    4Rinderknech A. (6)Hanfmann Y.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Bublik A. (1)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 0
    2Cazaux A.Rinderknech A. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Bublik A. (1)Cazaux A.2 : 0
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