Suzhou Dongwu vs Yanbian Longding: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou).

: Jia League - Round 26

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.25
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
82% (327/397)	88% (431/492)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.43	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.28	0.24
Total shots
5	10
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
9	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
10	13
Passes
82% (327/397)	88% (431/492)
Long passes
56% (34/61)	60% (28/47)
Passes in final third
61% (51/83)	77% (106/137)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	29% (6/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.42	1.37
Throw-ins
22	15
Fouls
13	10
Tackles
75% (6/8)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
26	39
Clearances
20	16
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
0.24	0.28
Goals prevented
-0.76	-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Zhou Dadi ⚽, Fortes C. (A),
36', Li Qiang ↓, Li R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jin Taiyan ↓, Han Guangmin ↑,
46', Piao Shihao ↓, Ukachukwu P. ↑,
61', Xu Wenguang ↓, Qian Changjie ↑,
64', Zhang Lingfeng ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
70', Jin Shang ↓, Yuan J. ↑,
70', Zhou Dadi ↓, Liang Weipeng ↑,
72', Li Long 🟨,
77', Wen Junjie 🟨,
84', Li Long ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
86', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
86', Gao D. ↓, Wen Da ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Domingos J. ⚽,
90+3', Domingos J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Suzhou Dongwu
48.2%

Draw
30.6%

Yanbian Longding
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Suzhou Dongwu's performance.

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanbian Longding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Suzhou Dongwu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanbian Longding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)	3.23 ↑ (2.99)	4.65 ↑ (2.98)	1.2% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Suzhou Dongwu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Yanbian Longding will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Yanbian Longding (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Yanbian Longding may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Suzhou Dongwu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Suzhou Dongwu won against Yanbian Longding?

Suzhou Dongwu has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yanbian Longding won against Suzhou Dongwu?

Yanbian Longding has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding were as follows:

01.06.2025 Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu 2:1

07.07.2024 Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu 0:5

10.03.2024 Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding 1:1

29.07.2023 Yanbian Longding - Suzhou Dongwu 2:2

Latest results of Suzhou Dongwu

05.10.2025 Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Suzhou Dongwu - Qingdao Red Lions 1:0 ✺

14.09.2025 Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Shanghai Jiading Huilong - Suzhou Dongwu 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Yanbian Longding

04.10.2025 Dingnan United - Yanbian Longding 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long 3:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Yanbian Longding - Shanghai Jiading Huilong 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Shenzhen Juniors - Yanbian Longding 2:1 ✺

Chinese Jia League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Liaoning Tieren	26	17	7	2	54:26	28	58
2	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	16	4	6	48:31	17	52
3	Guangdong GZ-Power	26	15	5	6	45:30	15	50
4	Yanbian Longding	26	12	7	7	30:23	7	43
5	Shijiazhuang Gongfu	26	11	8	7	36:29	7	41
6	Nantong Zhiyun	26	11	7	8	40:26	14	40
7	Dingnan Ganlian	26	10	10	6	37:30	7	40
8	Dalian K'un City	26	10	8	8	35:32	3	38
9	Shaanxi Union	26	8	8	10	39:41	-2	32
10	Suzhou Dongwu	26	7	10	9	22:27	-5	31
11	Shanghai Jiading Huilong	26	8	6	12	24:35	-11	30
12	Nanjing City	26	7	8	11	33:39	-6	29
13	Foshan Nanshi	26	6	7	13	24:39	-15	25
14	Shenzhen Juniors	26	7	3	16	35:55	-20	24
15	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	26	5	7	14	21:36	-15	22
16	Qingdao Red Lions	26	2	7	17	15:39	-24	13

Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League

Which TV channels are streaming of Suzhou Dongwu - Yanbian Longding?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8