Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Chinese Super League Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns
Result
2:1
15/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super League - Round 21
Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.36
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
215
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
81% (272/335)79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
2.060.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.550.21
Total shots
215
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
124
Blocked Shots
10
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3413
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
81% (272/335)79% (264/334)
Long passes
52% (26/50)37% (19/51)
Passes in final third
60% (64/106)54% (41/76)
Crosses
22% (5/23)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.20
Throw-ins
2719
Fouls
1116
Tackles
50% (9/18)71% (12/17)
Duels won
5840
Clearances
1841
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.211.55
Goals prevented
0.21-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Long Wei 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Luo Jing ,
  • 41', Zhang Xiangshuo , Zhang Chenliang ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Wang Jinxian , Palacios M. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Li Songyi (Own goal),
  • 60', Long Wei , Zheng Haoqian ,
  • 63', Nene 🟨,
  • 67', Shen Zigui , Zhong Jinbao ,
  • 70', Luo Jing , Han Zilong ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Han Zilong , Tang Miao (A),
  • 80', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
  • 81', Li Songyi , Zhao Yuhao ,
  • 81', Ye Chugui , Yi Teng ,
  • 81', Liu Yiming , Hang Ren ,
  • 85', Hang Ren 🟨,
  • 90+3', Pedro H. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Darlan , Zhang Zhenyang ,
  • 90+3', Zheng Kaimu , Liao Chengjian ,
  • 90+6', Ionita II A. , Zhang Yufeng ,

Chances of winning


Yunnan Yukun
53.2%
Draw
24.7%
Wuhan Three Towns
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 24.3% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 24.6% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.
  • Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.14)
    3.82
    (3.87)
    4.14
    (2.95)
    5.7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 52.1%90.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 3 - 60%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O. (Red Card) Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Gustavo Sauer (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Burca A. (Inactive) Yi Teng (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun 3:1
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng25166350:193154
    2Shanghai Port25166360:362454
    3Shanghai Shenhua25156453:302351
    4Beijing Guoan25146553:371648
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional25108751:391238
    8Dalian Yingbo2496924:34-1033
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns25661330:51-2124
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka24451529:51-2217

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
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          Relegation ~ Jia League

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