Lincoln City vs Wrexham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Lincoln City - Wrexham
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 46
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Lincoln City - Wrexham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.30
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
83% (387/464)78% (291/373)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.781.46
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
139
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
3814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
126
Passes
83% (387/464)78% (291/373)
Long passes
38% (21/56)38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
64% (86/135)66% (61/93)
Crosses
17% (5/29)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.64
Throw-ins
1516
Fouls
612
Tackles
50% (7/14)31% (5/16)
Duels won
4252
Clearances
1436
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
1.460.78
Goals prevented
-0.540.78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Lee E. , Longman R. (A),
  • 61', 0 - 2, Longman R. , McClean J. (A),
  • 62', Longman R. 🟨,
  • 64', Gardner J. , Moylan J. ,
  • 65', House B. , Bayliss T. ,
  • 65', McClean J. 🟨,
  • 71', Longman R. , Barnett R. ,
  • 72', Lee E. , Fletcher S. ,
  • 73', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
  • 74', Hackett-Fairchild R. , Okoro Z. ,
  • 74', Erhahon E. , McGrandles C. ,
  • 74', Hamilton E. , Draper F. ,
  • 76', Rathbone O. , O'Connor T. ,
  • 85', Smith S. , Marriott J. ,

Chances of winning


Lincoln City
35%
Draw
28.2%
Wrexham
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 28.7% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 28.3% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.
  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lincoln City - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.18)
    3.35
    (3.27)
    2.54
    (2.25)
    6.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Wrexham?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Wrexham is Qualified for Championship
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
    • Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury) Jefferies D. (Injury) Makama J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Calf Injury) Boyle W. (Calf Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Evans G. (Inactive) Faal M. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Wrexham were as follows:
    26.11.2024 Wrexham - Lincoln City 1:0
    Latest results of Lincoln City
    Latest results of Wrexham
    21.04.2025 Blackpool - Wrexham 1:2
    18.04.2025 Wrexham - Bristol Rovers 1:1
    12.04.2025 Wigan Athletic - Wrexham 0:0
    05.04.2025 Wrexham - Burton Albion 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton (4)Wycombe (5)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Stockport County (3)Leyton Orient (6)1 : 2, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Charlton (4)Leyton Orient (6)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Lincoln City - Wrexham?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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    usaUsaParamount+
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