Cambridge United vs Wrexham: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Cambridge United - Wrexham
Result
2:2
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
Cambridge United - Wrexham - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
67% (215/323)76% (308/404)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.800.82
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2820
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
67% (215/323)76% (308/404)
Long passes
39% (27/70)44% (33/75)
Passes in final third
56% (59/106)61% (83/136)
Crosses
30% (7/23)15% (5/34)
Expected assists (xA)
0.540.65
Fouls
1316
Tackles
43% (3/7)67% (8/12)
Duels won
6254
Clearances Total
3937
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.821.80
Goals prevented
-1.18-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Dobson G. ,
  • 7', Cleworth M. 🟨,
  • 24', Bennett L. 🟨,
  • 39', Loft R. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 1, Bennett L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Stokes J. (Pen),
  • 57', 2 - 2, Smith S. , Longman R. (A),
  • 71', Rodriguez J. , Fletcher S. ,
  • 72', Ballard D. , Kachunga E. ,
  • 77', McClean J. , Barnett R. ,
  • 77', Rathbone O. , Lee E. ,
  • 78', Brophy J. , Malone S. ,
  • 89', Smith S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
18.5%
Draw
26.8%
Wrexham
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 25.9% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1% 25.4% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambridge United's form might have worsened.
  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambridge United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cambridge United - Wrexham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.04
    (3.5)
    3.49
    (3.6)
    1.73
    (1.96)
    6.5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Wrexham?
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (26 of 30 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.51%98.83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 0.
    • Cambridge is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Wrexham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Lavery S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) O'Connor T. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Cambridge: Andrew D. (Inactive) Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cambridge won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Wrexham were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Wrexham - Cambridge United 2:2
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Wrexham
    29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2
    22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0
    11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0
    08.03.2025 Wrexham - Rotherham United 1:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage1081117:8925
    2Bradford City1173120:13724
    3Cardiff1172219:91023
    4Stockport County1264218:14422
    5AFC Wimbledon1271417:13422
    6Lincoln1163217:10721
    7Huddersfield1161417:13419
    8Bolton1245316:14217
    9Barnsley1052316:14217
    10Doncaster1252511:16-517
    11Luton1151514:13116
    12Mansfield1143416:14215
    13Leyton Orient1242620:22-214
    14Northampton114258:10-214
    15Port Vale1234511:11013
    16Exeter1241712:13-113
    17Wigan1234515:17-213
    18Plymouth1141616:19-313
    19Wycombe1233614:15-112
    20Burton1133510:15-512
    21Reading1125412:16-411
    22Rotherham1132611:16-511
    23Blackpool1222810:20-108
    24Peterborough112188:20-127

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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