Wrexham vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Wrexham - Burton Albion
Result
3:0
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Wrexham - Burton Albion - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.47
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
243
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (456/533)61% (138/226)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.58
Total shots
243
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
120
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
357
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
69
Passes
86% (456/533)61% (138/226)
Long passes
45% (17/38)22% (16/72)
Passes in final third
81% (189/233)44% (24/54)
Crosses
37% (13/35)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.18
Fouls
96
Tackles
40% (6/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5438
Clearances Total
2534
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.582.56
Goals prevented
0.31-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Webster C. 🟥,
  • 33', Rathbone O. 🟨,
  • 34', Rodriguez J. , Fletcher S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', McClean J. , Barnett R. ,
  • 46', Dobson G. , Lee E. ,
  • 49', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 62', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Fletcher S. (Pen),
  • 74', 2 - 0, Smith S. , Longman R. (A),
  • 77', Smith S. , Marriott J. ,
  • 78', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 79', Larsson J. , Forde A. ,
  • 85', Armer J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Marriott J. , Barnett R. (A),
  • 90', Crocombe M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wrexham
61.1%
Draw
24.2%
Burton Albion
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.4% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 23.5% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Wrexham - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    3.91
    (3.75)
    6.41
    (5.75)
    6.1%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Wrexham - Burton Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.8%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Burton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Burton Albion were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Burton Albion - Wrexham 0:1
    05.12.2023 Wrexham - Burton Albion 2:3
    Latest results of Wrexham
    01.04.2025 Cambridge United - Wrexham 2:2
    29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2
    22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0
    11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff651011:11016
    2Stevenage65019:4515
    3Bradford City642010:6414
    4Barnsley641111:7413
    5Doncaster64116:4213
    6Huddersfield640211:6512
    7Luton64028:3512
    8Stockport County632110:7311
    9Lincoln63218:6211
    10Mansfield631211:7410
    11Exeter63039:639
    12AFC Wimbledon63038:629
    13Wigan62228:718
    14Bolton61416:607
    15Northampton62134:6-27
    16Leyton Orient62136:10-47
    17Reading61235:9-45
    18Burton51135:9-44
    19Rotherham51134:8-44
    20Blackpool61147:13-64
    21Plymouth61054:13-93
    22Wycombe60245:9-42
    23Port Vale60242:6-42
    24Peterborough60152:11-91

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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