Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Premier League - Round 4
- Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (239/286) | 74% (118/160) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (239/286) | 74% (118/160) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 43% (15/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/115) | 56% (19/34) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Krejci L. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Woltemade N. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 31', Andre 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Woltemade N. ↓, Osula W. ↑,
- 65', Joelinton ↓, Willock J. ↑,
- 66', Andre ↓, Munetsi M. ↑,
- 66', Arokodare T. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
- 66', Mosquera Y. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
- 67', Munetsi M. 🟨,
- 68', Joao Gomes 🟨,
- 77', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
- 77', Gomes R. ↓, Tchatchoua J. ↑,
- 80', Barnes H. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
- 88', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
- 90+5', Murphy J. ↓, Botman S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
71.9% | Draw
18.3% | Wolverhampton Wanderers
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-21.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolverhampton Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.46) |
5.38 ↑
(4.72) |
10.21 ↑
(6.89) |
2.3%
(4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 44 - 86.3%). Wolverhampton will win (votes: 4 - 7.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 76.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Recently, Wolverhampton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Newcastle is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Gordon A.
(Red Card)
Ramsey J.
(Ankle Injury)
Wissa Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bueno H.
(Knock)
Hoever K.
(Knee Injury)
Larsen J. S.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Wolverhampton Wanderers?
Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolverhampton Wanderers won against Newcastle United?
Wolverhampton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Wolverhampton Wanderers were as follows:
15.01.2025
Newcastle United
-
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3:0
15.09.2024
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Newcastle United
1:2
02.03.2024
Newcastle United
-
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3:0
28.10.2023
Wolverhampton Wanderers
-
Newcastle United
2:2
12.03.2023
Newcastle United
-
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2:1
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:1 | 8 | 9 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Bournemouth | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Fulham | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Manchester Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Manchester City | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Brighton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Nottingham | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Burnley | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Brentford | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | West Ham | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Wolves | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship
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