Wolfsburg vs Köln: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Köln
Result
3:3
13/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 3
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
Wolfsburg - Köln - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.54
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
85% (383/448)81% (286/355)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.391.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.883.35
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
1923
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
85% (383/448)81% (286/355)
Long passes
57% (29/51)37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
78% (103/132)67% (69/103)
Crosses
33% (7/21)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.99
Throw-ins
1426
Fouls
1511
Tackles
85% (11/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3116
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
3.351.88
Goals prevented
0.35-1.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Waldschmidt L. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Amoura M. , Arnold M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Waldschmidt L. , Johannesson I. ,
  • 64', Sebulonsen S. , Castro-Montes A. ,
  • 64', Thielmann J. , El Mala S. ,
  • 65', 2 - 1, Majer L. , Maehle J. (A),
  • 68', Majer L. 🟨,
  • 69', Zieler R. 🟨,
  • 70', Amoura M. , Pejcinovic D. ,
  • 71', van den Berg R. , Kainz F. ,
  • 72', Schmied J. 🟨,
  • 78', Lund K. , Ache R. ,
  • 84', Johannesson I. 🟨,
  • 85', Majer L. , Seelt J. ,
  • 86', Grabara K. 🟨,
  • 89', Wimmer P. , Daghim A. ,
  • 89', Skov Olsen A. , Lindstrom J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Johannesson I. , El Mala S. (A),
  • 90+9', 3 - 2, Arnold M. ,
  • 90+14', 3 - 3, Kaminski J. , Ache R. (A),

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
44.8%
Draw
26.8%
Köln
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 27.3% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 30.3% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wolfsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Wolfsburg - Köln Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.02)
    3.65
    (3.55)
    3.41
    (3.94)
    1.7%
    (3.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Köln?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). Köln will win (votes: 5 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 50.6%85.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Köln (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
    • Wolfsburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Köln is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Wolfsburg has had a series of away games.
    • Wolfsburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Svanberg M. (Red Card) Vavro D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Köln: Johannesson I. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Köln were as follows:
    27.01.2024 Wolfsburg - Köln 1:1
    26.08.2023 Köln - Wolfsburg 1:2
    25.02.2023 Köln - Wolfsburg 0:2
    03.09.2022 Wolfsburg - Köln 2:4
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    Latest results of Köln
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    24.08.2025 Mainz - Köln 0:1
    17.08.2025 Jahn Regensburg - Köln 1:2
    09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0
    25.07.2025 Köln - Leicester City 3:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich440018:31512
    2RB Leipzig43016:7-19
    3Dortmund32108:357
    4FC Koln42119:727
    5St. Pauli42117:617
    6Eintracht Frankfurt32018:536
    7Freiburg42028:806
    8Stuttgart42025:506
    9Hoffenheim42028:10-26
    10Wolfsburg31207:525
    11Bayer Leverkusen31117:614
    12Mainz41125:414
    13Werder Bremen41128:10-24
    14Hamburger SV41122:8-64
    15Augsburg41037:10-33
    16Union Berlin31024:8-43
    17B. Monchengladbach30120:5-51
    18Heidenheim40042:9-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - Köln?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
    austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
    canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
    chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
    denmarkDenmarkViaplay
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
    greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
    hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
    icelandIcelandViaplay
    indiaIndiaVision+
    indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    mexicoMexicoSky Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
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    peruPeruDisney+
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4
    portugalPortugalDAZN / App
    romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
    russiaRussiaOkko Sport
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
    singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
    south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenViaplay
    switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
    thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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