Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer German Bundesliga Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg
Result
4:0
03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Referee: Brych F. (Ger)
Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.69
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
87% (459/528)85% (361/426)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.560.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.780.06
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
14
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2818
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
613
Passes
87% (459/528)85% (361/426)
Long passes
59% (20/34)50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
76% (120/157)75% (61/81)
Crosses
27% (4/15)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.360.86
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
136
Tackles
60% (9/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
2218
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.062.78
Goals prevented
0.06-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', Fischer K. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. , Gross P. (A),
  • 67', Gittens J. , Adeyemi K. ,
  • 69', 3 - 0, Adeyemi K. , Bensebaini R. (A),
  • 70', Nmecha L. , Wind J. ,
  • 70', Tomas T. , Amoura M. ,
  • 70', Wimmer P. , Majer L. ,
  • 73', 4 - 0, Adeyemi K. , Brandt J. (A),
  • 76', Vavro D. , Odogu D. ,
  • 76', Fischer K. , Roerslev Rasmussen M. ,
  • 76', Nmecha F. , Can E. ,
  • 76', Brandt J. , Duranville J. ,
  • 82', Guirassy S. , Chukwuemeka C. ,
  • 82', Gross P. , Sabitzer M. ,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
74.8%
Draw
15%
Wolfsburg
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 18.7% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 17.6% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.
  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.44)
    6.44
    (5.14)
    9.45
    (6.54)
    3.7%
    (4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?
  • Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 79.4%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 4 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 69.4%89.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wolfsburg has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Arnold M. (Red Card) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Coach's decision) Muller M. (Concussion) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:10. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:2. (average 3.1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0
    17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1
    23.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0
    07.05.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 6:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Eintracht Frankfurt11004:133
    3Wolfsburg11003:123
    4Augsburg11003:123
    5Union Berlin11002:113
    6Hoffenheim11002:113
    7FC Koln11001:013
    8Dortmund10103:301
    9St. Pauli10103:301
    10Hamburger SV10100:001
    11B. Monchengladbach10100:001
    12Bayer Leverkusen10011:2-10
    13Stuttgart10011:2-10
    14Mainz10010:1-10
    15Freiburg10011:3-20
    16Heidenheim10011:3-20
    17Werder Bremen10011:4-30
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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