Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

03/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund).

: Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Brych F. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	0.69
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
87% (459/528)	85% (361/426)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
2.78	0.06
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
1	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
28	18
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
6	13
Passes
87% (459/528)	85% (361/426)
Long passes
59% (20/34)	50% (21/42)
Passes in final third
76% (120/157)	75% (61/81)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.36	0.86
Throw-ins
17	21
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
60% (9/15)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
45	51
Clearances
22	18
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.06	2.78
Goals prevented
0.06	-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Fischer K. 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
67', Gittens J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
69', 3 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Bensebaini R. (A),
70', Nmecha L. ↓, Wind J. ↑,
70', Tomas T. ↓, Amoura M. ↑,
70', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
76', Vavro D. ↓, Odogu D. ↑,
76', Fischer K. ↓, Roerslev Rasmussen M. ↑,
76', Nmecha F. ↓, Can E. ↑,
76', Brandt J. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
82', Guirassy S. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
82', Gross P. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Borussia Dortmund
74.8%

Draw
15%

Wolfsburg
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17.6%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.44)	6.44 ↑ (5.14)	9.45 ↑ (6.54)	3.7% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?

The most likely score is 2:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
Borussia D is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wolfsburg has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Borussia D is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Arnold M. (Red Card) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (Coach's decision) Muller M. (Concussion) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 50:10. (average 2.5:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:2. (average 3.1:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Wolfsburg?

Borussia Dortmund has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Borussia Dortmund?

Wolfsburg has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg were as follows:

22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3

29.10.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:0

17.02.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1

23.09.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 1:0

07.05.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg 6:0

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺

20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2 ✺

15.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 3:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺

09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Wolfsburg

26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺

06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich ✔	33	24	7	2	95:32	63	79
2	Bayer Leverkusen ✔	33	19	11	3	70:41	29	68
3	Eintracht Frankfurt	33	16	9	8	65:45	20	57
4	Freiburg	33	16	7	10	48:50	-2	55
5	Dortmund	33	16	6	11	68:51	17	54
6	Mainz	33	14	9	10	53:41	12	51
7	RB Leipzig	33	13	12	8	51:45	6	51
8	Werder Bremen	33	13	9	11	50:56	-6	48
9	Stuttgart	33	13	8	12	61:51	10	47
10	B. Monchengladbach	33	13	6	14	55:56	-1	45
11	Augsburg	33	11	10	12	34:49	-15	43
12	Wolfsburg	33	10	10	13	55:54	1	40
13	Union Berlin	33	9	10	14	33:50	-17	37
14	St. Pauli	33	8	8	17	28:39	-11	32
15	Hoffenheim	33	7	11	15	46:64	-18	32
16	Heidenheim	33	8	5	20	36:60	-24	29
17	Holstein Kiel ✔	33	6	7	20	49:77	-28	25
18	Bochum ✔	33	5	7	21	31:67	-36	22

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
Bayer Leverkusen is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Holstein Kiel is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga

Which TV channels are streaming of Borussia Dortmund - Wolfsburg?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Brazil	Canal GOAT, RedeTV!, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3, SportKlub 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-africa	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball