Wolfsburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

11/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

AOK Stadion (Wolfsburg).

: Bundesliga Women - Round 22
Referee: Schwermer M. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.54	2.19
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
78% (330/421)	71% (225/318)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.54	2.19
xG on target (xGOT)
3.69	1.24
Total shots
15	14
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	7
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
13	11
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	4
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
26	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
78% (330/421)	71% (225/318)
Long passes
58% (39/67)	30% (18/61)
Passes in final third
64% (38/59)	44% (38/86)
Crosses
70% (7/10)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.99	0.79
Throw-ins
23	25
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
73% (8/11)	90% (19/21)
Duels won
40	43
Clearances
16	11
Interceptions
10	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.24	3.69
Goals prevented
0.24	0.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Brand J. ⚽, Jonsdottir S. J. (A),
8', 2 - 0, Jonsdottir S. J. ⚽, Brand J. (A),
15', 3 - 0, Dijkstra C. ⚽, Kielland J. (A),
21', Grant R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bender L. ↓, Boboy D. ↑,
57', Linder S. ↓, Wilms L. ↑,
57', Kielland J. ↓, Lattwein L. ↑,
66', Endemann V. ↓, Sellner T. ↑,
66', Dijkstra C. ↓, Hegering M. ↑,
67', Grant R. ↓, Bartz P. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Kramer C. ⚽, Vilhjalmsdottir K. L. (A),
80', Kramer C. ↓, Mickenhagen J. ↑,
87', Piljic K. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
90+1', Brand J. 🟨,
90+4', Mickenhagen J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Wolfsburg
68.1%

Draw
19.1%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

19.9%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.43)	4.84 ↑ (4.44)	7.2 ↑ (5.8)	8.5% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

The most likely score is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: ) and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Bayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Wolfsburg is the obvious favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:7. (average 3.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 39:2. (average 4.3:0.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bayer 04 Leverkusen won against Wolfsburg?

Bayer 04 Leverkusen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen were as follows:

06.12.2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 1:0

04.02.2024 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 1:1

17.09.2023 Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3:0

12.03.2023 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Wolfsburg 1:4

30.09.2022 Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6:1

Latest results of Wolfsburg

03.05.2025 Turbine Potsdam - Wolfsburg 0:4 ✺

28.04.2025 Wolfsburg - TSG Hoffenheim 2:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Wolfsburg - SGS Essen 5:1 ✺

27.03.2025 Barcelona - Wolfsburg 6:1 ✺

Latest results of Bayer 04 Leverkusen

03.05.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - RB Leipzig 1:0 ✺

25.04.2025 Turbine Potsdam - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1:3 ✺

14.04.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Köln 1:1 ✺

30.03.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2:0 ✺

16.03.2025 Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Werder Bremen 2:0 ✺

German Bundesliga Women Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich W	22	19	2	1	56:13	43	59
2	Wolfsburg W	22	16	3	3	57:18	39	51
3	Eintracht Frankfurt W	22	16	2	4	68:22	46	50
4	Bayer Leverkusen W	22	13	4	5	38:21	17	43
5	Freiburg W	22	11	5	6	34:31	3	38
6	Hoffenheim W	22	12	0	10	49:30	19	36
7	Werder Bremen W	22	9	2	11	28:39	-11	29
8	RB Leipzig W	22	8	3	11	30:40	-10	27
9	SGS Essen W	22	5	5	12	21:30	-9	20
10	Koln W	22	3	5	14	18:51	-33	14
11	Jena W	22	2	4	16	7:43	-36	10
12	Potsdam W	22	0	1	21	5:73	-68	1

      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women

Which TV channels are streaming of Wolfsburg - Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Magenta Sport, Sport 1
Iceland	Vodafone Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA
World	Onefootball