Wisła Płock vs Legia Warsaw: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw
Result
1:0
17/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.19
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
75% (248/330)89% (538/607)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.020.95
Total shots
1023
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
410
Blocked Shots
210
Shots inside the Box
515
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1041
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
85
Passes
75% (248/330)89% (538/607)
Long passes
42% (28/66)59% (30/51)
Passes in final third
58% (45/78)79% (196/247)
Crosses
40% (4/10)20% (11/54)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.44
Throw-ins
1314
Fouls
59
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
5718
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.951.02
Goals prevented
0.950.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kaminski M. , Jimenez J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Morishita R. , Elitim J. ,
  • 61', Stojanovic P. , Nsame J. ,
  • 61', Reca A. , Vinagre R. ,
  • 68', Lecoeuche Q. , Nastic B. ,
  • 72', Rajovic M. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 74', Pacheco D. , Mijuskovic N. ,
  • 74', Jimenez J. , Djalo M. ,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 78', Bichakhchyan V. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 85', Sekulski L. , Pomorski K. ,
  • 85', Custovic K. , Kalandadze A. ,
  • 87', Kapustka B. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wisła Płock
32.6%
Draw
28%
Legia Warsaw
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 28.3% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3% 29.3% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.3)
    3.46
    (3.3)
    2.49
    (2.15)
    2.8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
    • Legia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Wieckowski M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Goncalves C. (Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Legia Warsaw - Wisła Płock 2:3
    18.10.2022 Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw 0:3
    14.10.2022 Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw 2:1
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock751110:4616
    2Cracovia742113:9414
    3Gornik Zabrze740310:5512
    4Jagiellonia540112:9312
    5Korona Kielce732210:7311
    6Lech Poznan531110:10010
    7Pogon Szczecin731311:13-210
    8Radomiak Radom722313:1218
    9Termalica B-B722310:1008
    10Motor Lublin62226:9-38
    11Arka Gdynia72235:8-38
    12Legia52126:427
    13Widzew Lodz72149:907
    14GKS Katowice721410:15-57
    15Zaglebie613212:1026
    16Rakow52036:9-36
    17Piast Gliwice50322:5-33
    18Lechia Gdansk712412:19-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

    Which TV channels are streaming of Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaFOX Sports 2
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandCANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
    spainSpainGolStadium
    ukraineUkraineSport 1, Sport 3
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    worldWorldSport 1 Baltic
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